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Originally Posted by Wamy Einehouse
It's that time of year again! Lets all lose each other some money with our ill informed and second rate opinions of snooker players. I'll start.
Judd Trump.
Terrible long distance match player in my humble opinion. Over aggro, very emotionally unstable, regularly turns off and disintegrates in fine fashion. OK in the new events where the whole tounrnament is settled over half a frame, but not one to back in the Worlds. He can easily win this tournament, but he has to stay together for weeks, which is a huge if.
Add to all of this how distorted the market becomes due to punters loving hyper aggro players and piling in non stop, and this looks a massive lay at 6.8ish.
I think you're completely wrong here. I think the longer matches will actually suit Trump as he showed last year. Yes he's a little streaky, and can get emotional, but the longer matches give him some time to recover from that.
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Ronnie.
See above plus a long run of bad form and what appears to be a lack of hours on the practice table. Lay at 8s.
Okay.
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John Higgins.
Never ever right him off in this format. Looks a little short at 8.8ish but I would avoid.
I think Higgins looks weak this year so I doubt I'd bet on him.
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Mark Selby.
Another solid runner who is certainly on the backing side, but seems too short at 9.2ish to my eyes. One to probably avoid, but back if you are going to do anything.
This guy's your winner in my opinion.
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Neil Robertson.
Looks like the complete article to my eyes at this point in his career. His long potting is exceptional, he is winning very dirty often, and has become a truly top class, long format match player. Add the fact he has already taken this tournament down and clearly loves the place, and he looks great value at 11s. Back.
After spending time playing in the US, I find it funny that people think Robertson plays dirty and/or slow. God, watch Glenn Atwell run a rack of 8-ball and then tell me that Neil Robertson plays slow.
Anyways, I agree that he's the whole package and could very easily win. It's between him and Selby I think.
As for the rest I don't disagree with any of your thinking, though I do think Ding is looking to do something big here soon. Murphy is a perplexing case to me as he seems to be just amazingly skilled, but he keeps losing! No idea what's going on there but at his price he's a good pick. Dott I wouldn't bet on with your money. The best longshot is probably Martin Gould.