In the end, what are the chances that Stealth breaks up before the amigos are voted out?

IMO < 25%

I am clearly not into this show as much as some on here but I am thoroughly enjoying this season.

The idol thing is getting a bit silly. We have had the same player use 3 in only 2 TCs.

Sick move Probst throwing Erik under the bus by revealing his cartoon 'Fillup!' vote when he clearly didn't have to. Now SRUs knows at least one person flipped.

Now that Fillup is gone, who are the remaining goats? Brenda and Eddie? Maybe Erik? I like targeting Fillup here because now everyone has to revaluate their endgames and decide who they want to sit next to. I can see a lot of people thinking they would prefer to sit next to a bro or two at FTC.

I think its just becoming apparent that finding idols is a skill roughly on par with winning individual immunities.

I think my favorite part of the ep was cochrane's reaction. His visible excitement at the situation, despite it being ****ty for him, was awesome. Then to follow it with him actually explaining it was just great.

Yes this. He is not the best to ever play but he is now my personal favorite.

editing really lacked subtlety this episode with phillip's whole "i'm going to win" speech

still very few people getting winner's edits. VERY few.

If I am Malcolm I would of asked each person of SRU who they were voting for at tribal once the HII were shown.

I also would of considered playing the idol right away when Erik and Fillup both talked about keeping the vote the same.

You can't trust anyone to flip right at TC so both idols being played was almost a mortal lock. Making everyone talk about who to vote out would give a way more information about the SRU alliance.

fyp. To me she is the new goat of the season, with her getting multiple confessionals explaining she is unstable. Phillip even went out of his way to call her a "lunatic". She also seems to be the one that is burning people ie Malcolm's alliance last week.

Just wanted to point out (after what I saw on Dom's twitter) that if we go into the finale with 5 left there only needs to be one double elimination, not two. And that could be a quit/medevac anyway.

I might have missed something, but how does anyone know Erik wrote Fillup?

I think it has to do with his pattern of bolding his votes, but it's likely there isn't a conversation of "who writes the bolded vote everytime."

Sherri is the biggest goat left AINEC. I don't think there is any scenario where she gets more than one vote... Phillip might vote her if its like Sherri/Eddie/ReynoldS

Fun episode but not an all-time great imo (Russell schooling Tyson is #1 AINEC)

Hope Cochran takes this season down

I actually think Parvati and her bag of idols TC was better... but I think Parvati is 2nd GOAT and HOAT so I'm biased.

Yeah your probably right in Sheri being the biggest goat, but it's not hard to view Dawn as one as well. Especially after last nights episode.

Nobody seems to be wondering what Reynold is thinking. Hmmmmm, my alliance partner had an idol all the time yet he conned me out of mine 3 days ago while keeping his in his pocket. I must wonder how much I can trust my alliance partner. Maybe I should make an effort to find out who wrote my name down 3 days ago.

How would he find that out, if the only people who will talk to him at camp are Eddie and Malcolm?

Its hard to be mad at Malcolm for holding the idol when he demonstrated tonight he was willing to play it for the group. And its not like Reynold has any other options.

Erik is in a pretty good spot now somehow. If Eddie, Reynold and Malcolm are the next 3 out then Erik is in the f6 with Cochran and the girls

I think most people on the island would reach the conclusion that the comic book artist who designed our flag would make an light-hearted, artsy ballot each time. Even easier to figure out when that vote has always been with your alliance and is suddenly against it.

Maybe its less obvious to the people on the island, who have other concerns, but I've never doubted that those were Erik's votes, even though I'm pretty sure they didn't show him actually creating one before last nights episode.

He did it with the Corinne vote, except only bolding the C instead of the whole name.

And nothing could go wrong for him from there.

The only person I can't imagine a scenario (not paying attention to edit so far) that ends up with them winning is Eddie. Brenda, Erik, and Sheri have some work to do to break out of being "floaters" but it's set up now so that they could do it - two of them get together and start flipping back and forth between SRU and T3A they will start to loose the floater tag. If it's Sheri, Erik, and Eddie at the end who do you vote for? Cochran, Dawn, Malcolm, and Andrea have shown they are at least thinking about the game. Reynold is a challenge beast and has a little bit a thought. Eddie though, has he thought anything other than, "Hey, girls!"

Not saying they all have an equal chance, or that it's anything more than a long shot for most, just that I can see a path.

Also, Cochran is so much better at playing the game this time.

I could have sworn I watched Erik write the fillup ballot. Weirdness.

Edit. Checked dvr, yup it clearly showed Erik.