Wow, for the first time ever CBS letting Australians watch their online videos...
Early predictions:
Sherri: Young fan girls will be jealous and vote her out for any excuse. Low chance at winning.
Shamar: Could have some potential if he tones down the leadership stuff. Likely go post-merge due to the jury threat being a soldier. Low-Medium chance.
Michael: Will piss someone off. Hard to see him being in a strong alliance with the fan tribe as constructed. Low.
Reynold: Will go early post-merge, particularly if favs have majority. Only chance is if fans have the majority and the girls are pawns. But even still, I expect the minority favs to talk sense into the otherwise pawns. Low chance.
Laura: Didn't get much screentime in the meet the cast, hard to say. Could be one of the floater girls that go deep but unlikely. Low.
Matt: Likely be an outcast, whether wrongly or rightly. Low.
Julia: Could have some game in here. Could form an early alliance with the young girls and if she's a racecar driver, might have some tomboyish game in her. Medium.
Hope:
Floater win chance. Low-medium.
Eddie: Another male that likely goes early post-merge if still around, unless the girls are super pawns. Low-medium only because he doesn't appear to be as douchey.
Allie: Same as Laura.
Brandon: Has the SP relationships, but he's terrible. Low.
Andrea: There is a chance she sees the error in her ways and at least tries to do something strategically. Shouldn't be out early or middle unless in minority post-merge. Medium.
Malcolm: All round player. Favs won't have any history on him but unlike other people in his scenario (see: Hantz, Russell), his persona should make x1000 less threatening. They'll rely on him in challenges as well. Off the chart favourite.
Cochran: He'll go soon enough once people get sick of his awkward socialness. If he does go deep, he'll try to logic people on the jury for his vote but that'll simply not work. Only thing going for him is the South Pacific relationship with Dawn and Brandon. Low.
Phillip - I predict first boot of favourites. Francesca will target him early due to their history and she'll prob have the numbers. Low.
Francesca - She's a decent wildcard if she doesn't go crazy on anyone. Low-Medium.
Erik - I do like his chances. Like Andrea *may* bring some more game to the table. Will probably align early with Malcolm and if he can make the merge as the majority, shouldn't be the #1 threat. Should be likeable by a jury. Medium.
Dawn - expect to go deep with the SP alliance. Could be a prime #3 in an alliance that makes it to FTC and becomes a favourite after #2 blind sides #1 and #2 loses reputation in the process. Medium.
Corinne - will piss too many people off. Struggle to win any jury permutation. Low.
Brenda - probably try to flirt it up with Malcolm but I expect to be an early Fav boot. Low.
..damn, not high on too many people...