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Originally Posted by dankhank
Plus all your "Tasha is smart and rational" talk ignores my line of voting out Kass, which a smart and rational player should be fine with.
You can't just say this and make it true. Garrett, Spencer, and Tasha were all strategizing F5 in such a way that gave them the opportunity to avoid a tie at F4. Right or wrong strategically, once one side "declares" that they're doing this, there really is only one counter-strategy, which is to plan for the same thing.
This isn't a great parallel, but it's similar to Rob/Russell in HvsV. Initially, neither of them is planning to vote for the other, but once Russell decides that his alliance will vote for Rob, then Rob really has no choice but to have his alliance vote for Russell. In the same way, Tasha can't just "ignore" that Garrett/Spencer are trying to take her out at TribeF4, so she essentially is forced into planning for that at TribeF5.
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I don't think Tasha wanted Garrett out that night. I think she would have gladly voted out Kass to save J'Tia, and go forward 2-2.
Why would she need to vote out Kass to save J'Tia when she could use Kass AND keep J'Tia (which is exactly what she did)?
You guys are analyzing this as if it's a standard F5 spot. We're so used to analyzing these scenarios from the smart person's POV because there are usually only 1 (or maybe 2) of them in this spot. Imagine if the reverse had happened, and this was the actual GameF5. If Garrett found out that Tasha and J'Tia were 100% voting for Kass, wouldn't we be saying then that the optimal line for Garrett would be to tell Kass this and create a G/S/K 3-person counter-alliance?
Last edited by K.O.S.; 02-28-2014 at 07:20 PM.