Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaddy
Left a lot of money on the table Friday with those 11k DD bets. Could have gotten new high.
I was thinking about this from a $EV perspective and wondering what wager size starts to materially increase the (low) chance that he loses outright.
Like if he shoves on the first DJDD and is wrong (say 15% of the time, probably less, though I'm sure comfort level with the category has something to do with it), what % of the time does he lose?
Because he's an enormous favorite to win every night that he's on the show, so while max $ in a given show matters a bit, keeping the gravy train rolling is the important thing. Getting to the next show (vs not) has to be worth like $400k in EV. Not to mention that part of the payout from being the ultimate crusher on jeopardy doesn't come from jeopardy, and this only happens if you have a crazy streak.