Weak overpair OTR - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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Weak overpair OTR

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01-13-2017 , 06:51 PM

NewNewBurnsabre

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 43

Anon site, BB is 25/19 8% 3b over 63 hands. 30% flop cbet.

[converted_hand][hand_history]IPoker, $10/$20 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37579118

BB: $2,097 (104.9 bb)
MP: $2,252.44 (112.6 bb)
CO: $4,107.32 (205.4 bb)
BTN: $1,660.60 (83 bb)
Hero (SB): $2,026 (101.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T

MP calls $20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $80, BB raises to $260, MP folds, Hero calls $180

Flop: ($540) 5

(2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

Turn: ($540) 8

(2 players)
Hero bets $480, BB calls $480

River: ($1,500) 2

(2 players)
Hero? ($1286 left)

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01-13-2017 , 07:12 PM

Adebisi

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,965

I really hate the turn bet here. I don't think you can go wrong jamming the turn with double fd, pair and gutshot and you don't really give a **** if the turn checks through. As it played out here, I'm not sure you can even value bet when you hit a flush on the river, and it's hard for him to have many hands that just fold to your turn bet.

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01-14-2017 , 04:48 AM

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

If you check river you're going to get value bet and bluffed with a fairly balanced frequency so I lean towards betting. Given how wet the board is I'm less inclined to believe villain has many 2p/sets or the straight by this river after only calling the turn so his range is going to be a lot of KK+ & bricked FD/ SD combos or just air which is a range I think we can profitably shove against.

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01-14-2017 , 04:51 AM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,046

I'm trying to talk myself into xc being best but I'm not sure if villain bluffs enough. Since he can jam so many value hands on turn allready aa/kk should probably just checkback since there is such a small group of worse hands that call.

I'm not convinced we fold out enough hands to barrel again. Any 2pair is probably calling after most draws miss. The harder question is if something like kk + fd + pair or gutshot plans on calling river unimproved.. on such a wet board, I'd guess at least some of the time.

If hero bets the turn I recommend smaller sizing

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01-14-2017 , 08:49 AM

b1ochemical

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 1,321

Yah, do not like the turn bet either, would check def. back.
As played im shoving river and putting the decision on opponent as your turn bet is telling a story and i'd continue with that. His range has a lot of draws in it too and yeah even though it's pretty good spot to hero with kings or aces, im going for it.

Some extra stats would be helpful too. Your stats, his 3b bbvsb f.e

Last edited by b1ochemical; 01-14-2017 at 08:55 AM.

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