Quote:
Originally Posted by ChicagoJoey
You inspired me to go back and run more sims on all my answers because I didn't take them serious enough the first time around. I came up with a breakdown for the SRP vs Urubu for biggest trainwreck award that left me more confused than ever
I went with SRP there. If it was close for you, you probably neglected "hope EV" which is basically the fact that in each set of mutually exclusive events were they both doomed and hopeless.
I took these factors and calculated in the hope EV and took it to a risk assesment lawyer, as well as a psychologist, and they said from the start the SRP situation was not going to work, and the urubu situation was fairly close behind, but the hope EV calculations with urubu (being that hes not hopeless, he is braziliand and never gives up), factor a very slight pendulum change that, coupled with the fact that it happened during summer and SRP happened more in october-ish, the gravitational pull has a somewhat intriguing effect on the brazil vs canada pendulum sway, which ultimately moves towards canada and SRP.
+1 SRP Biggest Trainweck.
for more indepth voting analysis let me know, i've been developing some software to run GTO voting sims that not many people know about, i personally haven't told anyone but I think junglemans on to me.
-SWAGhollywoodGUCCI