Originally Posted by macgyver72
yeah nothing too far out of the ordinary there. in theory it should even out in the long run but of course it doesnt have to.
EV doesn't remember what has happened in the past. EV will most likely break even from this point on. Which means that your EV will most likely show -15BIs after 10k more hands, 100k more hands, 1M more hands.
BUT! Of course the relative aberration will even out and go towards 0 after X amount of hands.
If you lose 100 coin flips, your most likely to win 250/500 next coinflips. not 300/500 to break even with the total 300/600. EV is most likely to break even from this point on. And BTW, even if it's most likely to end up breaking EV from hand 0-1000 this only means it is more likely than ending + or -1 buy in. It isn't very likely to break even anyways, it's more likely to not break even. If you know what I mean. My English is kinda sucky.