Propbet 2xSNE on PLO in 2015 - Page 2 - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

You're going to have to figure out some pretty clever milepoints/pacing required for this to go through, simply due to the high odds and long timeframe.

Basically, people are going to want to be able to win this bet before the whole year has passed.

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02-01-2015 , 10:57 AM

#27

AlexKP

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 832

U could make a rule saying that if i fall 30% behind pace at any point the bet is lost, volume wise

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02-01-2015 , 11:43 AM

#28

crashwhips

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 3,940

Think the true odds of you getting this done w/ those stips much worse than 15:1, but as everyone already said no one is going to want to bet w/ you because of having to risk so much to win so little and having the $ locked up in escrow 11 months

If you really want to motivate yourself to grind hard, maybe think about doing a couple month volume prop bet vs chicagojoey or something

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02-01-2015 , 12:02 PM

#29

tomsOn

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 185

Make a bet on a shorter time frame. You want to make 2million VPPs in 2015, that's 166k VPPs a month. Bet that you can get 500k VPPs in 3 months, suggest appropriate odds and I'm definitely willing to bet against.

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02-01-2015 , 12:58 PM

#30

Papicoolo

adept

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 730

500k vpps is a like 350k hands? Even I can do that and I'm a pretty lazy bastard

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02-01-2015 , 02:10 PM

#31

crashwhips

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 3,940

Quote:

Originally Posted by Papicoolo

500k vpps is a like 350k hands? Even I can do that and I'm a pretty lazy bastard

Yeah, now that i think about it, avging ~25hrs wk 4tbling 2/5z rates to get you sne right? If so, this wouldn't be that difficult, even given terms and alex's history of being low volume player

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02-01-2015 , 04:45 PM

#32

gwai lo

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 559

lol... surprise! alexkp offering a prop bet with absurd odds in his favor. Big shocker there. Can't find motivation to exclusively play in only the best plo games across the internet with your extremely inflated winrate?

The lazy (multi?) millionaire who never challenges himself, suddenly wants to become a grinder at as low as 1/2 to torture himself on a daily basis to win a prop bet????? LOL! There is no ****ing way alex will ever take this bet without being able to put up a small amount with a HUGE upside.

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02-01-2015 , 06:15 PM

#33

yrmom

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 3,921

Break the bet into a few chunks of time frame. I, or most others, won't leave 4 figure sums in escrow for a year. Especially not with online poker being as stable as it is.

Moreover, this insane time frame makes decent odd-setting practically impossible. There are too many variable and possible black swans to control for.

If you want action, make a 2 or 3 months bet. You can make the volume the similar; a 3 month bet would mean ~500k VPPs (I'd adjust odds or VPPs required though, since this is considerably easier than 2mm in 12 months).

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02-01-2015 , 07:04 PM

#34

AlexKP

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 832

What should odds be on a bet like this then:

3 months:

500k vpps
Winrate 2evbb/100+
Im ONLY allowed to play z500, no bigger stakes no lower = only 4 tbls

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02-01-2015 , 07:34 PM

#35

JoKon

adept

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 859

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexKP

What should odds be on a bet like this then:

3 months:

500k vpps
Winrate 2evbb/100+
Im ONLY allowed to play z500, no bigger stakes no lower = only 4 tbls

1:1

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02-01-2015 , 08:26 PM

#36

b4dger1

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 364

Thats like 6 hours of grind every day, and even though thats hard for lazy people, I don't see how you could get more than 1:1

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02-01-2015 , 09:15 PM

#37

AlexKP

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 832

Then lets raise winrate to 4....

And its more than 6 hours/day

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02-01-2015 , 09:18 PM

#38

antchev

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 2,768

If I'm not mistaken it's 5 VPPs per dollar of rake on .dk, so it's 9% more volume than .com.

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02-01-2015 , 09:24 PM

#39

AlexKP

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 832

oh important fact lol, yes it is, dident even think bout that... Good thing we dident do a whole year bet

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02-02-2015 , 04:27 AM

#40

isplashcranberrys

old hand

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 1,390

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexKP

oh important fact lol, yes it is, dident even think bout that... Good thing we dident do a whole year bet

good thing indeed

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02-02-2015 , 07:00 AM

#41

cattler

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 118

i'd bet at 2:1

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02-02-2015 , 01:45 PM

#42

praios

banned

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,034

i might bet at 1:1

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02-02-2015 , 03:21 PM

#43

SWAGucci

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 82

1:1 must be allowed to call your girlfriend whenever i want to check up on you/her.

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02-02-2015 , 04:58 PM

#44

WhateverSon

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,304

Quote:

Originally Posted by SWAGucci

1:1 must be allowed to call your girlfriend whenever i want to check up on you/her.

u cant call up a hand on the phone

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02-02-2015 , 07:33 PM

#45

AlexKP

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 832

ouch, that hurt

Quote

02-02-2015 , 08:54 PM

#46

Nitti Vitti

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 402

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhateverSon

u cant call up a hand on the phone

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_O-QqC9yM28

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02-03-2015 , 05:13 AM

#47

Tiltkorv

journeyman

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 301

What if mr AlexKP grinds 24 table but over 6 diff sites and only shows us the pokerstars ****? :S

Quote

02-03-2015 , 09:55 AM

#48

SWAGucci

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 82

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhateverSon

u cant call up a hand on the phone

his girlfriend was on stream and is very good looking.

probably ugly for scandanavian standards, but hot for the rest of the world.

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02-03-2015 , 01:45 PM

#49

WhateverSon

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,304

Okay alex

Quote

02-03-2015 , 09:00 PM

#50

DaFooFighter

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 159

Quote:

Originally Posted by SWAGucci

his girlfriend was on stream and is very good looking.

probably ugly for scandanavian standards, but hot for the rest of the world.

lol this is how you compliment and **** on someone at the same time. I'd love to see a pic of such a girl

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