Interesting Live Spot - Page 2 - High Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

look at me now · 07-25-2012, 01:29 PM

ship the taters on the flop bro

ajt8 · 07-25-2012, 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1oh1

op doesnt say which clubs he has but his lowest possible club is 10. (also doesnt say if J on the board is a club)

there are 7 clubs left in deck, 4 of them beat us and they must be combined with another.

we know 9 cards.

villian has 4 cards and each one of those has about a 10% chance of being a club higher than 10 = 40% chance villian is holding ONE club higher than 10.

odds are much more in our favor if one of the jacks we know is the Jc
that leaves 6 clubs / 42 cards = 14% x 3 cards = 42 percent chance one of the other 3 cards is a club.

odds of having both = .40 x .42 = ~16% chance villian has a flush that beats ours.

bet, raise, call, etc, just get the money in.

odds are even better for us if one of the known jacks is the Jc

lol

1oh1 · 07-26-2012, 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ajt8

lol

is my math wrong?

nuggetz87 · 07-26-2012, 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1oh1

is my math wrong?

unless he pots the flop and turn with 100% of his 100% button opening range it's completely irrelevant... (edit: actually it's just wrong too)

any solid players want to tell me what the best flop play is and how close it is? I'm a beginner at PLO.

right now I feel like c/c > lead > c/r. seems like you'd need to be a lot shallower to c/r this. 2k deep I think you get put in miserable spots on the turn/river too often. if you c/c your hand is gonna do fine against his cbetting range and also will be easy to play.

whb · 07-27-2012, 07:49 AM

Just like Tom Dwan playing wsop PLO event, "pot, pot, pot, pot". So check-raise pot, and just go pot happy on turn/river. Let him make the decisions.

Chromophobia · 07-29-2012, 06:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nuggetz87

what the best flop play is and how close it is?

Flatting/Raising are both fine. I'd probably vary my play based on how loose villian is. If he's a nit i'm just flatting to avoid awkward spots. With a Q instead of a J in our hand i'd raise regardless

timotinbowen · 07-29-2012, 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1oh1

op doesnt say which clubs he has but his lowest possible club is 10. (also doesnt say if J on the board is a club)

there are 7 clubs left in deck, 4 of them beat us and they must be combined with another.

we know 9 cards.

villian has 4 cards and each one of those has about a 10% chance of being a club higher than 10 = 40% chance villian is holding ONE club higher than 10.

odds are much more in our favor if one of the jacks we know is the Jc
that leaves 6 clubs / 42 cards = 14% x 3 cards = 42 percent chance one of the other 3 cards is a club.

odds of having both = .40 x .42 = ~16% chance villian has a flush that beats ours.

bet, raise, call, etc, just get the money in.

odds are even better for us if one of the known jacks is the Jc

Sticky this shizz.

Doorbread · 07-29-2012, 07:49 PM

3b pre (not a big deal)

flop i would lead

fold now ofc