Quote:
Originally Posted by Scar18
of course its frustrating and annoying, and obv reasonable to post the graph. my point is more about the severity of the "run bad" overall being significantly less in this situation than if the graph was inverted and we were -28k or watever with expected +2k.
basically if everytime i ran 25bi below in small samples i won money.. id be very happy
So hopefully I'm just stating the obvious here, but no way the guy ran 25bi below EV.
Basically, for your EV to be $25k over 7000 hands at 5/10 PLO, you need to have a winrate of about 36bb/100. This is highly unlikely, unless he is Patrick Antonius or at least Finnish.
A much more likely winrate for a 5/10 winner is 3.6bb/100, which would have him at $2500 over 7000 hands. He won $1900, so he ran about $600 or about 1bb/100 under EV. Compared to the other beats posted in this forum, this is lolgtfo.
Reason #123458956 why EV graphs are stupid. Nothing as stupid as getting upset over an imaginary cold run.