Quote:
Originally Posted by Adebisi
When we bet river really small, our range starts to become heavy in thinner vbs like KK/QQ/A875 since the AK+ portion of our range would prefer to bet larger. All of these thin value hands would be in a tough spot against a river check/jam. When you add in the possibility that he may start bluff catching some non A hands to a smaller sizing, I think strategy of having a single 1/2 pot bet size on this river is going to do better than splitting our range into say 1/3 pot and 2/3 pot. When you bet some goofy sizing with a narrow and capped range, you don't know if or how he's going to adjust his own ranges.
Against a creative thinking player you are obv right but villain in the hand is described as an ABC nit so I think betting 1/3 or 2/3 pot is going to do the exact same thing. He's gonna call Ax+.
We also get to this river with a lot of valuehands and very few blufhands.
The only thing that might advocate for a 1/2 or 2/3 potbet is the very real possibility he has kings and you have to decide if he'll fold that specific to sizing.