2/5 AA facing Turn pot bet - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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2/5 AA facing Turn pot bet

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03-21-2017 , 06:21 PM

lucaspawpaw16

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 284

Villain is 18/10 over 90 hands

Seems unlikely he has any of this board?

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $2.50/$5 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37685311

BTN: $541 (108.2 bb)
SB: $500 (100 bb)
BB: $705.34 (141.1 bb)
UTG: $576.64 (115.3 bb)
MP: $533.94 (106.8 bb)
Hero (CO): $850.97 (170.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A

UTG folds, MP raises to $17.50, Hero raises to $60, 3 folds, MP calls $42.50

Flop: ($127.50) T

(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $93.38, MP calls $93.38

Turn: ($314.26) 2

(2 players)
MP bets $311.26, Hero?

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03-21-2017 , 07:32 PM

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

Yeah pretty tough to give villain credit on this board given how tight he is and that you also 3bet him preflop so you're also very unlikely to connect with this board much harder than say an OP+fd. You'd have to look at his post flop tendencies but he could be on some sort of strange bluff or has picked up a FD with his kings or whatever and wants to go with it without having to check and guess.

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03-21-2017 , 08:17 PM

Your Mom

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 13,450

KK45 or KK22 would make sense. guess it depends on his postflop tendencies. tough to tell with 90 hands. does he think you're weak?

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03-22-2017 , 01:16 AM

11t

Bo Pelini's #1 Fan

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 31,420

I probably just muck it and make a note. Like it's a weird bluff line and we don't beat his value range.

Versus a good tight player I likely go with my hand.

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03-22-2017 , 05:35 AM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,051

I reluctantly fold, think he has too many good made hands here and not enough txxx hands with hearts, we have a spade and 9 blocker which cuts down the # of semibluffs and I'm not confident villain expects to have fold equity given everything on the board

Would help to see how he plays overpairs, particular kk on other boards

Maybe this is a gto jam but I need proof of villain being balanced here most of the time

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03-22-2017 , 12:46 PM

DeKs

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 224

Ya I just let this go. So unlikely bluffing when he knows your range consist of lots of over pairs

Sent from my Pixel using Tapatalk

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03-22-2017 , 04:02 PM

dag21

centurion

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 147

Fold is optimal here I think.

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