Originally Posted by theprofessor
If your read is correct you have almost the right price to call. This does not mean you HAVE to call; (it is all about image and variance because if you always call in this situation you will break even in the long run). So folding is not stupid.
In this case, with rounded figures you have to put around 1450$ to win 1850$ (1500 from V1, 300 from V2 and the 50 you put preflop). Therefore you need to win 44% of the time (1450/3300).
Add to this that someone might have a redraw to his straight (either FD or full draw), my conclusion is that you better fold.
This is wrong. We don't have to put 1450 in, if we call villain can only repot it another 950 or so. We also have a decent chance at getting the rest of villain's stack when we do hit since he'll already have so much in.