Quote:
Originally Posted by mjw0586
I don't know that this years team is worse as much as it's ceiling is a lot lower. Still good enough to make a long tourney run.
That's a good way to put it. Another question to ask is: Are we a better team relative to the competition than last year?
Looking at just one data point, last year Louisville was pretty goddamn awesome, and pretty much the worst matchup for us to face with that African Ben Wallace clone in the middle. Is there even a team this year at 2013 Louisville's level? (a fully healthy, well oiled chemisty-wise MSU team is the only thing that comes to mind for me).
Relative to the competition, we may actually be better than last year even though last year's team was clearly more talented. But either way, no matter how one looks at it, our final four equity looks pretty good this year, maybe even better than last year.
The only thing that concerns me is this team doesn't appear to be the type of team that can have a bad shooting night and still pull through (something that's kinda important when you have to win 6 in a row, since a bad shooting night is almost inevitable unless you have a guy named Glen Rice on your team). Last year's team could definitely do that. If this year's team doesn't score 70 points it feels like we're ****ed.
Anyways, hopefully we run hot, and by run hot I mean let's hope the 1 or 2 bad shooting nights we have are against a ****ty team in the first round or a team running bad themselves in that department. After all, even the best of them aren't gonna win if they shot bad against a team shooting well--a big reason why the tournament is so fun to watch and why a #16 seed is gonna win within the next 10 years.