NFL Suicide Pool Discussion Thread - Page 8 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Seems too early in the season to have so few choices, I have Denver left in both pools so think I have to go with them, even though they scare me for some reason. New Orleans seems like a decent pick, but something about Monday night scares me, that and Miami being 3-0.

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09-24-2013 , 01:54 PM

#177

rakeme

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Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 6,715

I'm liking Cinci @Cleve a lot, the line seems way off at only -4.5. The Vikings are just a very bad team, I'm giving no weight to the Browns win last week.

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09-24-2013 , 04:24 PM

#178

EddyB66

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Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Tennessee will be my lock this week. They should win handily vs a Jets team that basically struggled to barley beat 2 awful QB's this year. I see CJ and company going to town on them.

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09-24-2013 , 06:15 PM

#179

Michael888

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 3,761

Yep, Gabbert expected to start. Indy lock. Might be picking against JAX for most pools the next 3 weeks.

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09-24-2013 , 10:16 PM

#180

spring83

Jack of all trades

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 3,370

Is it bad to use Denver this week instead of saving them for week 6 when they play the Jags?

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09-24-2013 , 10:37 PM

#181

IBETUFOLD33

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 2,902

I've used Ind, NE, and NO

I just think it's impossible to beat Godgers one week, and not beat Brian Hoyer the next, so I'm prob rolling Bengals .

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09-25-2013 , 06:34 AM

#182

Sluss

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,427

Picking in division rivalry games is never a great idea.

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09-25-2013 , 08:45 AM

#183

scottp4braves

Optimistic

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 1,147

Quote:

Originally Posted by spring83

Is it bad to use Denver this week instead of saving them for week 6 when they play the Jags?

In week 6 KC has Oakland in KC, and SF has Arizone in SF (assumming they turn it around).

That combined with Cincy on the road against a division team that might be a little frisky, and not knowing exactly what to make of Tenn and NYJ yet leads me to feel much more comfortable with Denver than anyone else, just wish I hadn't already used Indy.

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09-25-2013 , 08:52 AM

#184

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sluss

Picking in division rivalry games is never a great idea.

Why not?

Vegas factors in every piece of information into the moneyline.

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09-25-2013 , 09:47 AM

#185

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

Sometimes you just gotta say **** Vegas and go with your gut, that feeling right in the pit of your stomach.

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09-25-2013 , 01:50 PM

#186

Namath12

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Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sluss

Picking in division rivalry games is never a great idea.

I referenced this earlier, still haven't seen any data one way or the other though.

I need a lock this week and I just can't find one.

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09-25-2013 , 02:34 PM

#187

eric79

adept

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 739

Im liking the saints, really cant see Miami going in there and getting a win on Monday night.

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09-25-2013 , 04:37 PM

#188

MacGuyV

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Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 22,298

Quote:

Originally Posted by rakeme

I'm liking Cinci @Cleve a lot, the line seems way off at only -4.5. The Vikings are just a very bad team, I'm giving no weight to the Browns win last week.

For some reason every road fav. that's ever been - <7 has been way off.

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09-25-2013 , 07:50 PM

#189

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by nutshot2

Sometimes you just gotta say **** Vegas and go with your gut, that feeling right in the pit of your stomach.

yeah, **** Vegas and the tens of millions of dollars they have riding on their football lines being exactly right

Quote:

Originally Posted by GeorgeSteele

Tennessee is my lock this week. I see a very easy win for them.

Tennessee -185

They win this game about 63% of the time. There's five other teams more likely to win this week than the Titans. If you're so confident that this line is off, to hell with these stupid $20 survivor pools, you should be loading up and betting on them straight up to win.

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09-26-2013 , 08:12 AM

#190

Sluss

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,427

Quote:

Originally Posted by accobra_kid

Why not?

Vegas factors in every piece of information into the moneyline.

Exactly, in a vaccum how many points should the Bengals be favored over the Browns? The fact the line seems "off" is Vegas factoring that in.

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09-27-2013 , 01:56 PM

#191

scottp4braves

Optimistic

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 1,147

Concerns with picking Denver:

- 6 days of rest for them vs 10 for Philly
- letdown game after winning 3 straight
- letdown game since Philly's looked pretty bad

Are these legimate enough to go with NO, Tenn or Cincy (in a vacuum not worrying about future weeks)? Or is this just normal weekly survivor paranoia?

I keep going back to Denver, NO, Tenn, and Cincy scare me even more, but then I start thinking about the factors above and getting nervous, just overthinking it?

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09-27-2013 , 01:59 PM

#192

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

Quote:

Originally Posted by accobra_kid

yeah, **** Vegas and the tens of millions of dollars they have riding on their football lines being exactly right

Tennessee -185

They win this game about 63% of the time. There's five other teams more likely to win this week than the Titans. If you're so confident that this line is off, to hell with these stupid $20 survivor pools, you should be loading up and betting on them straight up to win.

I'll hash tag my post #sarcasm next time so it's clear.

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09-27-2013 , 02:18 PM

#193

holmfries

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Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Quote:

Originally Posted by scottp4braves

You are over thinking it...

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09-27-2013 , 02:21 PM

#194

holmfries

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Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Hmmm...could see some separation this week.

My league:
- Ind - 27% (my pick)
- Den - 29%
- NO - 9%
- SF - 4%
- Cin - 17%
- KC - 10%
- Balt - 4%

Numbers are rounded obv.

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09-27-2013 , 02:35 PM

#195

Namath12

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Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

I just read the weekly e-mail with our results and despite the fact that Seattle played the Jags last week 33% of the pool was somehow eliminated.

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09-27-2013 , 02:45 PM

#196

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Let's go Chefs

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09-28-2013 , 09:24 PM

#197

TradeOC

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,956

Took Bengals this week over Browns.

Think thats a lock.

Should of went with 49ers but wanted to save them, and also wait topick them when they are the home team.

Last edited by TradeOC; 09-28-2013 at 09:25 PM. Reason: ]

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09-28-2013 , 09:45 PM

#198

holmfries

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Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Quote:

Originally Posted by TradeOC

Took Bengals this week over Browns.

Think thats a lock.

Should of went with 49ers but wanted to save them, and also wait topick them when they are the home team.

You know the bengals top three defensive players are out right?

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09-29-2013 , 09:32 AM

#199

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by holmfries

You know the bengals top three defensive players are out right?

This is normally where'd I'd say "You know they're playing the Browns, right?" but...

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09-29-2013 , 05:25 PM

#200

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

Colts baby

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