NFL Suicide Pool Discussion Thread - Page 7 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

TRich to the Colts? Wow. That's interesting. Also saw this:

@DaveRichard Just took in Brian Hoyer's film from week 17 last year. Throws can get high and off target, but he can hit the deep ball.

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09-18-2013 , 08:53 PM

#152

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by spring83

I don't understand anyone not taking SEA; I mean which week are you saving them for? Week 6 vs TEN is pretty good, but that week we have DEN vs Jax. Such a simple decision this week, it is like a bye week.

I'm saving them for a week where they're not picked by 65% of my competition.

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09-18-2013 , 11:19 PM

#153

holmfries

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thamel18

Recent happenings make MIN v CLE look a lot better.

told ya

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09-19-2013 , 01:56 AM

#154

randominternet2345

Guest

Posts: n/a

the line moved from 5.5 to 6.5

anyone know the % difference of win % that is?

or are we still just talking in media speak and assuming point spreads have no predictive power in outcomes?

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09-19-2013 , 02:19 AM

#155

siccjay

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 10,037

Quote:

Originally Posted by cbayly12

Seattle and Denver have so much future value that it's probably a big mistake using them, unless you're in a very small pool.

lol

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09-19-2013 , 09:14 AM

#156

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Quote:

Originally Posted by noseeds99

the line moved from 5.5 to 6.5

anyone know the % difference of win % that is?

or are we still just talking in media speak and assuming point spreads have no predictive power in outcomes?

Here are 2011 and 2012.

Straight up favorites:

2011 179-77
2012 164-91-1

However teams favored by 7 points or more were this:

2011 79-15
2012 60-10-1

More information here.

http://www.statsprofessor.org/p/stats.html

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09-19-2013 , 06:30 PM

#157

tdomeski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 8,321

Quote:

Originally Posted by noseeds99

the line moved from 5.5 to 6.5

anyone know the % difference of win % that is?

or are we still just talking in media speak and assuming point spreads have no predictive power in outcomes?

check the ML movement?

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09-22-2013 , 04:11 PM

#158

holmfries

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Yep Vikings total lock like i said.

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09-22-2013 , 04:25 PM

#159

MacGuyV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 22,298

Always shocking when a marginally "less bad" offense & inferior defense loses.

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09-22-2013 , 04:55 PM

#160

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

My dad got cute and took Vikings. Told him to take the BYE but noooo

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09-22-2013 , 06:00 PM

#161

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Drunk

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09-22-2013 , 07:02 PM

#162

rakeme

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 6,715

So did all you "save em for later" donks learn your lesson today?

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09-22-2013 , 07:13 PM

#163

holmfries

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

I took the safe route and went with the Seahawks.

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09-23-2013 , 09:47 AM

#164

eric79

adept

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 739

Had 10 entries left on Carbon. Was gonna pick Sea with all 10 ez game. Easiest week ever. Ended up listening to the advice itt. Went with Min 6 times lol, Sea 2 and Den 2. Save em tho.

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09-23-2013 , 10:18 AM

#165

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Saying that taking the Vikings was bad is being totally results oriented. It was a good move an provided great separation from huge portions of many pools. Sucks that they lost obviously, but no one was saying don't take the Vikings because they might lose to Brian Hoyer. We're talking about picking against a team that openly gave up on the season and named their 3rd QB the starter for the week.

Took NO in my other pool and am super excited about my position vs everyone else the rest of the way.

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09-23-2013 , 12:59 PM

#166

ashley12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,695

Any plans for week 4 so far

I have used Packers and Seahawks (small pool started week 2) and have zero idea which way to go this week

I had planned Saints but Miami have looked legit so far this year.

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09-23-2013 , 01:10 PM

#167

splashpot

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 8,203

The only big favs for week 4 are Denver and Indy. I'll be on one of those depending on what the exact numbers end up being.

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09-23-2013 , 01:38 PM

#168

AriesRam

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 14,512

Is it insane I am intrigued by the thought of picking KC over NYG?

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09-23-2013 , 01:41 PM

#169

rakeme

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 6,715

Not at all. There's no huge locks this week, so I think it's fine. I'm leaning Cinci over Cleveland right now. New Orleans over Miami scares me and I already used Indy. If you had Indy left, I would def use them over KC though.

*Denver is a dicey pick this week too (even though 10 pt favs), only because the Eagles will have had 10 days rest and Denver only 6.

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09-23-2013 , 01:45 PM

#170

splashpot

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 8,203

Quote:

Originally Posted by rakeme

*Denver is a dicey pick this week too (even though 10 pt favs), only because the Eagles will have had 10 days rest and Denver only 6.

That is already factored into the line.

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09-23-2013 , 02:11 PM

#171

EddyB66

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Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Congrats to anybody who went with Carolina over the Giants. And I had the Browns as well ATS. Couldn't believe everyone in my league took Minnesota. I did make a noob mistake though. I am in 2 survival pools. 1 ATS, and 1 straight up. With Carolina being a pick for me I used them confidently in the ATS pool, but ended up taking Denver in the straight up pool. If I liked Carolina I should have just went with them in both.

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09-23-2013 , 02:16 PM

#172

Randal_Graves

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Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

Used Rams, Eagles (rebuy), and Seahawks so far.

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09-23-2013 , 05:41 PM

#173

holmfries

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,301

Well used Rams, Ravens, Seahawks so far.

Early look thinking Indy this week.

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09-23-2013 , 05:57 PM

#174

tdomeski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 8,321

I've used Indy, Pats, Seahawks heading into Week 4.

Terrified of Vick going off on Denver, but that may end up being where I go.

Will definitely be a game time decision either way.

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09-23-2013 , 07:29 PM

#175

EddyB66

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Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,766

Well I am completely screwed since I used Indy/ATL/Den. If Denver survives, I guess I have to go with Cincy? There isn't a matchup I can feel comfortable about unless I go with New Orleans at home on MNF.

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