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Old 10-22-2016, 04:22 PM   #26
lardydardy
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Canuckage View Post
Most of them seems to be confirmed. Rask isn't playing tonight so MTL stack could be profitable
According to Daily Faceoff and LWL there are many unconfirmed. Where do you get your info?
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Old 10-22-2016, 04:36 PM   #27
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

I use those two mainly also. CHI, CBJ, NSH and MIN has no status so far but will probably be confirmed closer to 4 pm. Most home goalies are confirmed though, which one were you planning to pick or stack on?
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Old 10-22-2016, 04:56 PM   #28
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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I use those two mainly also. CHI, CBJ, NSH and MIN has no status so far but will probably be confirmed closer to 4 pm. Most home goalies are confirmed though, which one were you planning to pick or stack on?
Looking at Budaj for cash. Also, 3600 to spend on D what are your thoughts?
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Old 10-22-2016, 05:08 PM   #29
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Is this on FD or DK
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Old 10-22-2016, 05:11 PM   #30
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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Looking at Budaj for cash. Also, 3600 to spend on D what are your thoughts?
If it's on FD:
Nikita Zaitsev
Philip Larsen

If it's on DK
Damon Severson
Justin Schultz
Nikita Zaitsev

All these dmans are projected to play on top powerplay. Larsen doesn't have a point yet and doesn't seem to block/shoot much so far.
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Old 10-22-2016, 06:27 PM   #31
lardydardy
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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Originally Posted by Canuckage View Post
If it's on FD:
Nikita Zaitsev
Philip Larsen

If it's on DK
Damon Severson
Justin Schultz
Nikita Zaitsev

All these dmans are projected to play on top powerplay. Larsen doesn't have a point yet and doesn't seem to block/shoot much so far.
Going with Zaitsev. (FD)
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Old 10-22-2016, 06:50 PM   #32
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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Old 10-28-2016, 09:28 AM   #33
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

2 way tie for 1st in the $1 Hip Check on DK last night had the same lineup which included a 6 man WPG stack.What a coincidence.
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Old 10-29-2016, 06:51 PM   #34
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Yikes! Big outlay on FD $3 Breakaway. 10 mins left and its 14.5k/19.6k entries
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Old 11-04-2016, 09:44 AM   #35
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Whoa didn't even know this was here. If anyone wants to play some hu for small stakes for brags/funzies add me on dk (gordonbombayobv) and we will get some head to heads going on bigger slates or make a 2p2 group contest?
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Old 11-04-2016, 08:09 PM   #36
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

A small 2p2 group contest would be fun. Mainly a GPP player but would take a swing at HU.
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Old 11-07-2016, 05:30 PM   #37
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

3 game slate rake-off leggggggggggggggo
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Old 11-07-2016, 11:07 PM   #38
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Tomorrow should be a fun day. I really hate these 3 game slates but degens gonna degen so had to put in some entries.
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Old 11-08-2016, 08:00 PM   #39
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Interesting slate of games tonight. GL everyone!
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Old 11-09-2016, 04:01 PM   #40
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Evander Kane back tonight, potential sneaky pick.
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Old 11-09-2016, 07:56 PM   #41
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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Evander Kane back tonight, potential sneaky pick.
Shhhhh don't give away my sleeper haha

Wug screen names on dk?

I'm gordonbombayobv (Obv)
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Old 11-09-2016, 08:08 PM   #42
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

ivanage

Do you play tournaments?
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Old 11-09-2016, 09:13 PM   #43
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Yeah was doing that exclusively but now been tossing in half gpps and half head to heads and it seems like free money on big slates
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Old 11-09-2016, 09:53 PM   #44
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

H2H profitable? I've only played it once or twice, all my actions have been GPPs. GPPS on DK have been horrible unless its the $27 or $20 promotion days (Tuesdays usually).
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Old 11-09-2016, 10:26 PM   #45
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Sure seems like they Are but small sample size. Yeah gpps are pretty high varinece but just takes one bink to be up heaps really.
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Old 11-10-2016, 02:02 PM   #46
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Try playing on FD, the smaller pools ($3) have a way better prize structure. It's little top heavy but I prefer it over the flat structure at DK
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Old 12-07-2016, 09:52 AM   #47
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

theory q:

if there were no points awarded for goalie wins/shutout, how would you go about picking your goalie?
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Old 12-08-2016, 04:08 AM   #48
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

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theory q:

if there were no points awarded for goalie wins/shutout, how would you go about picking your goalie?
I assume they get points for just saves and negative points for goals against? Goaltenders like Talbot, Anderson and Dubnyk seems like good options as they face tons of shots and relatively alright SV%
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Old 12-08-2016, 10:35 AM   #49
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

right so more shots the better. even bad goalies will save something like 0.880.

using dk scoring of +0.2 per save and -1 per goal, for each shot they face

0.88 * 0.2 = 0.176
0.12 * -1 = -0.120

so even a bad goalie is +ev in terms of fantasy points gained per shot. the more shots a goalie faces the better in terms of fantasy production.

now in terms of getting the W, a big fav in hockey is around -200 giving them about a (2/3) chance of getting the W. the underdog has a (1/3) chance. so the difference in expectation of getting the win is just

(2/3) * 3 pts = 2
(1/3) * 3 pts = 1

so you give up one pt in expected fantasy points if you make the horrible play of taking the underdog goalie, but if he faces just a few more shots (lets say 5 more shots) than the other goalie, you gain around 0.28 pts back from getting more saves.

i guess my point is that drafting goalies is really hard to screw up because even bad goalies are +ev in terms of fantasy points per save and the impact of giving up your chance of the win is softened by them likely facing more shots than the opposing goalie.

this seems to contradict conventional wisdom is drafting goalie 1st and paying for the W. just drafting the cheapest goalie is almost never much of a mistake while overpaying for a goalie can be.
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Old 12-10-2016, 01:08 AM   #50
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Re: NHL 2016-2017 DFS Thread

Really depends on which site you play. For the most part I find DK goalie prices are very similar to each other (starter vs their respective back up) whereas in FD the difference can be 1k-1.5k.

Do you play cash or GPP games?
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