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MLB 2015 DFS Thread MLB 2015 DFS Thread

06-22-2015 , 12:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TasteIsKing9
Who are we thinking with sp2 sites today..
Pineda obv gonna be 40%+ in all gpps. Kershaw has a high. Total and weather issues which means Felix % goes up a bit
All the low guys seem pure aids
High total for Kershaw = 20 mph wind blowing out to center at Wrigley.
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06-22-2015 , 01:18 PM
Don't usually do this but Think I gotta go Pineda in cash tn
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06-22-2015 , 02:07 PM
Pineda for cash on both dk/fd tonight.
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06-22-2015 , 02:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TasteIsKing9
All the low guys seem pure aids
Hutch @TB is a much lesser disease. Pure mumps, at worst.
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06-22-2015 , 03:55 PM
I'm rolling out Felix.Bombing/being rolled off on a stretcher seem likely.
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06-22-2015 , 05:19 PM
Forecast looks to be clearing up in Chicago

Edit: Maybe not.

Last edited by SA16; 06-22-2015 at 05:46 PM.
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06-22-2015 , 05:28 PM
I hate that I'm getting injury updates through the DK app on my phone right now.
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06-22-2015 , 05:30 PM
Anybody trying to make a GPP team with Felix and Kershaw? I always try to build a cheap GPP team with the 2 top priced pitchers and enter it into some cheaper GPPs.
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06-22-2015 , 05:49 PM
SA, thoughts on this paper's findings vs The Book wrt hot streaks?
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06-22-2015 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Priptonite
SA, thoughts on this paper's findings vs The Book wrt hot streaks?
I didn't read it in detail but someone mentioned this study to Lichtman the other day and he said he had read it and there were a lot of issues with it and it was basically nonsense. I will send him a message asking him to elaborate though.
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06-22-2015 , 06:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by beauvanlaanen
Anybody trying to make a GPP team with Felix and Kershaw? I always try to build a cheap GPP team with the 2 top priced pitchers and enter it into some cheaper GPPs.
on draftkings is it pretty easy tonight use people like ryan raburn, Yankees, Dodgers, Indians

Personally I have a lot more Pineda and Felix with a lot of Bauer, Hutch
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06-22-2015 , 06:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieKelly
I hate that I'm getting injury updates through the DK app on my phone right now.
would you prefer to start players out of the lineup?
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06-22-2015 , 06:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SA16
I didn't read it in detail but someone mentioned this study to Lichtman the other day and he said he had read it and there were a lot of issues with it and it was basically nonsense. I will send him a message asking him to elaborate though.
I remember reading about this study awhile back, and one of their claims is that previous studies were flawed because they studied basketball shooting where defenses could adjust if someone appears to be on a hot streak (double-teaming etc.), thus counteracting it and making it look like it doesn't exist. But I've read about a few of the other studies and I'm pretty sure they studied free throw shooting (where the defense can't adjust obviously) and not field goals for that very reason. So it seems to me that this Stanford study is attacking a straw man, which makes me suspicious of their conclusions. I'm interested to hear other takes on it though.
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06-22-2015 , 06:37 PM
Yeah I'm dying to hear what the econometric modeling issues are with that paper from the co-author of the book that basically uses table averaging as its main methodology.
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06-22-2015 , 07:06 PM
I don't really know how to explain this but here is a lineup in a 100man 50/50.



Here's to hoping I'm playing this guy HU for non busto stakes.
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06-22-2015 , 07:09 PM
Hoping Kershaw gets a decent amount of innings before the storm hits.
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06-22-2015 , 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rrumsey182
would you prefer to start players out of the lineup?

I wouldn't because I check updates all the way up until games start.
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06-22-2015 , 07:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimTimSalabim
I remember reading about this study awhile back, and one of their claims is that previous studies were flawed because they studied basketball shooting where defenses could adjust if someone appears to be on a hot streak (double-teaming etc.), thus counteracting it and making it look like it doesn't exist. But I've read about a few of the other studies and I'm pretty sure they studied free throw shooting (where the defense can't adjust obviously) and not field goals for that very reason. So it seems to me that this Stanford study is attacking a straw man, which makes me suspicious of their conclusions. I'm interested to hear other takes on it though.
I agree that they overstate their case a bit, i.e.

Quote:
We argue that this difference is attributable to endogenous defensive responses: basketball presents sufficient opportunity for defensive responses to equate shooting probabilities across players whereas baseball does not.
because they don't actually show that this is what is happening in basketball, they merely theorize it. But w.r.t. the free throw paper, the problem I have is that people aren't really referring to free throws when they say a player has the hot hand in basketball. Thus I don't really see it as a strawman. The body of literature on the hot hand fallacy is so voluminous now with the bulk of the research stacking up against hot hands that demonstrating a hot effect in a major sport is novel enough to pursue publication.
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06-22-2015 , 07:25 PM
That Tanaka lineup is certainly contrarian...
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06-22-2015 , 07:31 PM
My bigger question is how is he TWO percent Owned
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06-22-2015 , 07:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimTimSalabim
Hoping Kershaw gets a decent amount of innings before the storm hits.
Chi maps look bad.
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06-22-2015 , 07:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNonPareil
My bigger question is how is he TWO percent Owned
An excellent question.
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06-22-2015 , 08:04 PM
awesome offense paired with pineda

****ty offense paired with kershaw

sounds great. at least i got kiermauer on both
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06-22-2015 , 08:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JsTs
Race to 15 h2h w/ side bet.
sounds like it will take forever but ok
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06-22-2015 , 08:04 PM
That lineup beats my Bauer/Pineda lineups by miles
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