Quote:
Originally Posted by movieman2g
The punting SP thing is so intriguing to me. It makes sense to me logically, but I just can't see it working.
Still rooting for it to work though, or at least, provide a ton of useful data
Well this strategy isn't because I believe the optimal team features 4-6 relievers/closers. Relying on 6 closers in 1 week in a playoff matchup is risky business. I'll very likely start trading for aces at the 1/4 point of the season unless im doing overwhelmingly well as is. It's because with a 7 inning minimum and no cap on player starts or innings that every single starter you draft is a wasted draft pick. You're starting to see a movement on passing on starters for the first few rounds but that's still a half measure. Pitchers are never worth hitters at their equivalent or better ranks, and it's easier to trade hitting for pitching than vice versa. As such it's more important to hold as many bullets as you can of the former rather than go with fringe pitchers with limited upside for the same roster spot
Looking at people who fade aces in the first 5 rounds and start taking pitching afterwards: yes, some can pan out and be elite but by in large you're taking people who are good to elite ks with **** ratios, or good ratios and average to **** ks, and while doing that you're passing on guys like pence, brantley, hosmer, beltre, Franco, etc etc etc
14th round you're taking guys like severino and passing on guys like story or park or Turner or whatever else.
And for what? Even if they pan out to be at or slightly better than their ADP they have no trade value. If I hoard a bench of 10 hitters and only 4 or 5 pan out at least I still have plenty of flexibility (im hoarding AJ reed everywhere because I can basically) and not be forced into a rushed trade at less than face value for the assets I have that did work out. If you have no hitting bench and a sea of pitchers you're incredibly exposed if anything happens to any of your hitters, bust or injury. And it's going to be harder to balance that out trading pitchers to fill the gap.
Look at pollock for instance. I have him in 13 leagues and I'd say there are only 2 where this actually puts a dent in me (the 2 leagues I drafted him before I nuked my strategy and started approaching it this way)