Ya on DK there are about 6 regs that just snipe the lobby for newbies. You can get action at 1/2 but above it its allll regs

I put my lineup in around noon Pacific time and I didn't see anything. I'll have to start going to RG. Was it on the CBB News Feed or just in the the CBB thread in the forum?

BTW, I checked out your blog. Very nice.

Is there anything more tilting than missing the big tournaments. Entering all the small ones. Winning them all then realizing your winning team woulda won the early big ones by 30?
Cause thAt happened today when I slept in not thinking they'd fill. Over 1600 missed out on on tournies I always play.

Sighhh

yeah, losing.

TIK, do you know who sox22's minprice guy was tonight?

He had a couple diff ones.
One was Kelan Martin which was stupid but I forget his other.
He faded newby at 3k when newby was like 30% owned so that was interesting

sox always takes lj rose

His dk lineup today was boggling

Lots of studs overpriced on FD imo. Hard to justify rostering many of them for anything but the safest cash plays.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/14/up...straction.html

WP

out of curiousity and boredom from lack of NBA i spent about 3 hours trying to figure this stuff out and still have no idea what's going on. Kudos to those that win at this disaster of a game.

id play LSU players if you could

It's easier than NBA

I once saw somebody say that you don't need to worry about stacks in NBA because players don't vulture each other too much. I never checked it out, but saw something in data I was looking at recently for cbb.

Martin and Mickey are highly negatively correlated (-0.76, p < .0039) since conference play. The effect is still negative but not significant if you run it for the entire season, but I'm not sure why. It could be that they were playing soft competition in a lot of those games and just beasting, a fundamental change in their playstyle, or maybe just noise. I tend to put more stock into recency and conference play because it seems like a lot of players reach their "true" level in the conference grind, but maybe that is just my biased thinking. The data is pretty highly influenced by times when Mickey blew up and Martin did nothing (see scatter below). I've looked at pairs/triplets of players from other teams with multiple studs and have found mixed results, with some being very negatively correlated, some have no correlation, and others being positively correlated.



The takeaway is that some players *might* be strongly negatively correlated, so stacking both in gpps could be a bad idea, similar to stacking QBs/RBs in football. My intuition is players of the same position could limit each other (F/F) while a (G/F) stack might not. However, the effect could be offset with the possibility you hit OT minutes or some insane total when you stack. It could make for a fine cash play to lock up the value.

Another thing I see people say a lot is that certain guys are matchup proof. I was doing some research on Sir'Dominic Pointer earlier and decided to dig a bit deeper. I regressed his FanDuel points output onto site (home/away), spread, total, KenPom AdjD, and KenPom AdjT for all games played so far in 2014-2015 season. For Sir'Dominic, the only significant factor was the home/away split, and even then it was marginally significant (p < 0.10). A common theme is that St. John's is awful on the road, and at least for S'DP, the data seems to support that a bit. The coefficients on all of the other variables were so small that I feel pretty safe saying that he is indeed matchup/tempo proof.

Had Gathers/Mickey. Enjoy my money.

hit a top 25 with Dawson, Trice combo

stacking two studs on the same team just seems bad for CBB/NBA GPP unless the situation is extreme, like one is high usage + ast and the other is low usage, stud block/stl/reb/ + beneficiary of those assists. Says the guy who pivoted off Wayne Blackshear in cash/gpp last night.

Did a podcast last night for tomorrow's slate.. Two hrs long but hopefuly you guys like it

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/fantasy...-feb-27th-2015

I don't think any of this matchup **** even matters that much once you get beyond the absolute 5% best/worst matchups. The dudes that repeatedly hammer me just seem to be chasing points and coming up with hot finds on minutes and injuries.

Minutes = opportunity= points. Pretty easy

It's not that simple. Some of the players can do absolutely nothing with those minutes, so you sorta have to know that. Nonetheless, my point is that it's sorta like playing a guessing game about minutes, because these coaches are so mercurial (and often just dumb). All of that stuff about matchups/tempo/site has such a small impact on point value compared to just guessing right.

Meh I think mins are easier to predict in ncaa than NBA

Anybody taking a shot at 'Survive the Madness' on FD? Throwing a dart on the small slate tonight.

In what ways do you think it's easier? I feel like it's the opposite, but maybe it's just a matter of experience.

I've got 3 tickets and 1 ticket to the March mania on dk