Aaron altherr is worth keeping an eye on, especially in a roto setting

The unsustainably low percentage of first pitch strikes he's faced is contributing to his numbers currently but even considering that he's now getting run hitting 2nd and has 20/20 upside

souza is still doing souza things

What is going on with Austin Hedges? His power seems legit but he has posted a 0.150 BABIP over 90 PAs now dating back to last year, and posted a 0.200 BABIP over 150 PAs in 2015. Are his hits being his mis-classified or is he just slow as ****?

His LD% is 20%. It seems like his BABIP should be higher than 0.150 with that many line drives.

- Let's say half of his LDs are falling for hits
- Let's say every flyball that he hits is an out if it isnt a homer
- That means his 45% GBs are falling for hits only (5/45) ~= 10% of the time. Wtf

Just traded McCutcheon for Abreu

Don't really like McCutcheon that much and was hoping he would heat up a little so I could move him. I have plenty of other OFs plus Myers at 1B who also qualifies for OF so I can move him to the OF and play Abreu at 1B.

Abreu off to a bad start but seems to be heating up a little. He started off horribly last year as well but put up good numbers before it was all over. I feel he will get better as the weather does and McCutcheon will continue to age.

I figure this is fairly even. Anyone think it is a mistake?

I might've been wrong about Souza. Maybe hes not going to return to sucking.
Dudes crushing

Id much rather have Abreu than Cutch. I think you did very well in that trade.

Imjosh,

18% popup rate will do that to your BABIP

Souza has increased BB% and cut down on his K% and outside zone chase % while maintaining his in zone swing. small sample but good signs and it wasn't long ago he was a pedigreed prospect with 20/20+upside. I think he's well worth picking up

also, Nova doing Nova things. he's 67% owned on Yahoo!. cmon sons

also what do we think of Jordan Montgomery?

i'd love to be wrong on souza cuz i picked him up everywhere a week ago but i picked up him hoping to sell him, not expecting to keep him. nothing about him points to this being any more than him just riding high. while it's true he's chasing pitches outside the zone less it's not by a high enough percentage to explain a 9% drop in strikeouts. plus he has a .308 babip on fly balls which is obviously laughable

also his strikeout rate is as "low" as it is because in his first 7 games he only struck out twice. in his last 12 before today he has 19 strikeouts in 51 PAs (37.2%) and a whoooole lot of whiffs

none of that is to say he can't be a viable power option this year (look at miller randomly coming into his own last year) but he WILL strikeout greater than 30% of the time and he WILL have an average under .250

these were my thoughts in souza a week ago (thinking out loud while i picked him up). i was unsure about the sustainability of 1-3 when i made this post and i'm more unsure now

3 strikeouts and a homer

This taught me nothing

Martin DFA'd, Dyson in center, SHOULD clear up motter to play LF when segura gets back

Also vogelbach up, immediately starting and immediately hitting 5th

Granted Seager's out and this is still likely to be a platoon with Valencia but still worth noting, especially that he's hitting ahead of motter

Does Gallo have a path to everyday playing time when Beltre returns?

Really like Vogelbach, sucks he's stuck in a platoon. Feel like Martin going is just a early sign Tyler O'Neill will be up later this year (assuming he gets his stats up in AAA), and that Motter will be a fill-in until then, if anything, since Heredia has looked good in small sample so far

Maybe DH/LF(lol)? Doubtful

btw, for those waiting on JD Martinez: Still not running at 100%, they're taking it very slow with him. He's running "40-60%" atm, and sounds like he's 2-3 weeks away from returning.

2 Salami's today. feelin better

probably going to be the last call on conforto

Off of Scherzer too. I'm a believer

One of my YPL's, want to pick up a bat. Puig, AGon, Margot, or Conforto?

edit: Guess I could drop Parra for a 2nd bat, but he seems too good right now to bother (and will have Desmond replace him when ready)

one more thing (lol YPL's): Order these Waiver pickups: Davis, Schwarber, Lester, Turner, Herrera, Tomas, they'd be replacing a mix of Grichuk, Renfroe, Owings, and a streaming SP slot

I'd go get McCullers and Iglesias. McCullers is dominating and while Iglesias won't get 30+ saves given the Reds usage of him, he'll get you a bunch more than Betances.

Like cs3 mentioned he is hitting a crapton of pop-ups. For his career, mind you we're talking going back to late 2015 so this is all kind of garbage at this point but

Ground ball BABIP .176
Fly ball BABIP .018
Line drive BABIP .536

He's running bad on all three, GB is in the low .200s and line drives are .650+ usually. Fly balls league average is really bad (like .125) but he will always be much worse given his pop up issue.

If he can get his strikeout rate to the low 20s I think he could be a .240/20 type guy which is still pretty useful at catcher. OBP you gotta stay away unless its a two catcher deal