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2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. 2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread.

07-21-2016 , 01:14 PM
Are there any tools you can use to auto withdraw teams that have a w/d? Really sick of having someone w/d at the at the last minute or on the first hole and ruining my chances for the whole week. I don't get why if someone w/d's prior to the start of the tournament your person isn't replaced automatically or your lineup is void.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-21-2016 , 02:28 PM
Appreciate the frustration (have been bit personally by WDs like three weeks this year). But not aware of any tools like you describe. And in concept, it's hard to see how they would work because since DK won't update a players status as WD prior to the start of the contest. The tool would need some input to know a player WD and then to remove your lineup but there's no master repository for that kind of thing; seems like people just find out on Twitter.

As for replacing someone automatically, that seems fraught with hard questions. Who's the identified replacement player? What if the generic replacement player goes off and wins the tournament? That's functionally a reward for the WD. Then you have some potential angel shoots where you knowingly take a cheap player who has WD so you get a flier on some 'replacement' player or something. Hard to solve all those questions.

Last edited by DVaut1; 07-21-2016 at 02:36 PM.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-21-2016 , 02:44 PM
40 lineups this week. Did a Core 4 in every lineup.

Day
Finau
Campbell
Cauley

Let's make the cut then go from there.
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07-21-2016 , 03:29 PM
Like your picks. Took a long look at loading up on Campbell and Fitzpatrick in that ~$6800 tier but went with Harman instead. Seems like I went wrong but it's still early. Also took a long look at Cauley. He opened average of ~120:1 in the spotsbooks but went off close to 100:1 and was one of the big movers on the books this week, so bettors seemed to like him.
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07-22-2016 , 02:25 AM
PM tee times yesterday were almost 2 shots worse on average than the AM tee times. That's not as drastic as Friday at Troon last week but not insignificant. Going to be advantages to anyone who stacked Thursday AM times imo.
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07-22-2016 , 12:17 PM
Have list, DJ and Rahm in a line up. Unfortantly I was patriotic and took daleat as well.
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07-22-2016 , 01:25 PM
Cauley ruining dreams
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07-22-2016 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shifty86
Have list, DJ and Rahm in a line up. Unfortantly I was patriotic and took daleat as well.
Thought DaLeat had solved the chip yips but apparently not. I loaded up on him too, including in cash. Whoops. Going to miss the cut due to his chipping woes yesterday including the double on 16 when he took 4 shots to get on the green from within 20 yds or whatever. Looks like he's an indefinite fade from here until he puts together 4 rounds with a blowup.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-22-2016 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
PM tee times yesterday were almost 2 shots worse on average than the AM tee times. That's not as drastic as Friday at Troon last week but not insignificant. Going to be advantages to anyone who stacked Thursday AM times imo.
Lol until tee times today are 2 shots worse in the afternoon also. In general, afternoon scoring is worse because on average it's windier and warmer.
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07-22-2016 , 08:51 PM
Have Rahm DJ and List in a lineup with only 4/6.
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07-22-2016 , 11:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EddyB66
Have Rahm DJ and List in a lineup with only 4/6.

Same thing, currently in the top 300 though.
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07-24-2016 , 06:04 PM
Winner of the $300k Birdie didn't even have Vegas.
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07-27-2016 , 05:08 PM
Pricing this week is so off. Schwarzel 7300, really?
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07-28-2016 , 12:04 AM
Pricing is always soft for the majors. I think it's considered good for casuals; that's the market niche DK is trying to market DFS PGA to during the majors. It gives casual players a chance to roster a lot of top players they know and want to root for during the tournament without much research or headaches.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-28-2016 , 04:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Pricing is always soft for the majors. I think it's considered good for casuals; that's the market niche DK is trying to market DFS PGA to during the majors. It gives casual players a chance to roster a lot of top players they know and want to root for during the tournament without much research or headaches.
Isn't it just more a case of having a deeper field? More top players at the majors means that the distribution of talent across the whole player pool is higher. There's a fairly standard deviation of player salaries in each event, so an event with more top players is going to flatten out that distribution. So as the previous poster mentioned Charl Schwartzel is $7600 in an event that features 50 of the top 50 golfers in the world, whereas he might be something like $9000 in an event that only features 25-30 or the top 50 golfers in the world.

Those middle tier players (Schwartzel, JB Holmes, Snedecker, etc.) who are usually in the 8500-9000 range in a standard PGA tour event are going to get knocked down the ladder a bit to the mid 7000s in events with more top players. It does have the added benefit of bringing more casual players into the field, because they can build full teams of 6 guys they've heard of, but I don't know that it's intentionally cooked by DK for that reason, more just a function of the deeper field.

Doesn't matter to me either way, it's not going to change my own methodology for building lineups, and if it brings in more casual players and juice the prize pools, then great!
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07-28-2016 , 06:30 AM
Liking Dufner, Cabrera-Bello, J.B Holmes, Finau this week.

Along of course with DJ, Rory, Segio & Bubba.
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07-28-2016 , 07:13 AM
lol DJ at 43% owned in the MM. Schwartzel and Sergio 30%+ owned too. too.

I'm guilty, I have some way too chalky lineups that are going to be duplicated.
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07-28-2016 , 07:16 AM
Anyway, fired 10 bullets in the MM as I have for the majors all year. Just combos of these guys:

Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy
Sergio Garcia
Branden Grace
Brandt Snedeker
Charl Schwartzel
Andy Sullivan
Francesco Molinari
Brendan Steele
Gary Woodland
Thongchai Jaidee
Bryce Molder

Really like Dufner and Chris Kirk but ended up fading them.

Way too many chalk plays in my lineups.
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07-28-2016 , 07:42 AM
lol you can only add 5 players to the PGA.com's MyLeaderboard app. What the ****? 5?

Looks like it's back to the PGA Tour leaderboard.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-28-2016 , 07:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
lol DJ at 43% owned in the MM. Schwartzel and Sergio 30%+ owned too. too.

I'm guilty, I have some way too chalky lineups that are going to be duplicated.
Yeah I LOL'd at DJ's 43% ownership too this morning .. Put 10 picks in the millie as well and will be attending Sunday so it would be nice to have a sweat !
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07-28-2016 , 08:00 AM
I assume this will be indicative of the week. JB on #11 (his 2nd hole):



Drives it 322 to the right rough, then takes 4 to get it in from ~100.
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07-28-2016 , 02:47 PM
I told myself Sullivan and Vegas were severely under priced but I just didn't have the balls to put them on every team. Ended up taking them about 20% but still I need to start trusting my reads more and going with them.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-28-2016 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Anyway, fired 10 bullets in the MM as I have for the majors all year. Just combos of these guys:

Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy
Sergio Garcia
Branden Grace
Brandt Snedeker
Charl Schwartzel
Andy Sullivan
Francesco Molinari
Brendan Steele
Gary Woodland
Thongchai Jaidee
Bryce Molder

Really like Dufner and Chris Kirk but ended up fading them.

Way too many chalk plays in my lineups.
lol got just so crushed today, like every single one of these dudes except Sullivan dropped a huge turd. Unless it's a complete turnaround tomorrow I'm definitely going to completely whiff in cash and GPP.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-28-2016 , 09:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bm303
I told myself Sullivan and Vegas were severely under priced but I just didn't have the balls to put them on every team. Ended up taking them about 20% but still I need to start trusting my reads more and going with them.
Sullivan has a world rank of 34. He is in terrific form and not priced up properly. The only doubt was his track record in the PGA tour, 23rd place finish in difficult US open at Oakmont could have allayed those doubts.

Agree on reading more and more. There is a lot of noise and chatter out there. Not easy task separating the wheat from the chuff. Sullivan had to be respected and DFS salary is so transient it can be exploited.
2015-2016 PGA DFS Thread. Quote
07-28-2016 , 09:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
lol got just so crushed today, like every single one of these dudes except Sullivan dropped a huge turd. Unless it's a complete turnaround tomorrow I'm definitely going to completely whiff in cash and GPP.
With such a short space of time between these two majors, the dilemma in making picks was tough. Do you stay with current form or do you overlook that to fade players ?

Here are some good reads and showing how difficult it is to make forecasts.

https://golfanalytics.wordpress.com/...-full-seasons/

https://golfanalytics.wordpress.com/...es-everything/

https://golfanalytics.wordpress.com/...-are-illusory/

https://golfanalytics.wordpress.com/...-by-shot-type/
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