NFL 2014 DFS Thread - Page 3 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Anyone have good resources (article, podcast, etc) for Fan Duel strategy?

I'm all over Scobee and the Jets for minimum wage this week. Romo also seems like good value.

Rotogrinders is a good place for free info

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09-04-2014 , 01:59 PM

#52

Buffalo66

adept

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 978

Tackling H2H and GPPs are two different animals.

In NFL, studs rarely under perform. Your top 2-3 players at every positon is likely to produce.

It's the value pick that wins you the game. One good value pick might allow an extra stud on your roster that will improve your score.

In GPPs it's not just about value picks, but a great value pick VERY FEW other players also took. You have to take high risk chances in a tournament. If you're not playing for 1st then you should be playing H2H, 50/50, triple up etc.

As for FD, K and DEF matter a lot. Punt return TD and pick 6 happen more often than most players realize.

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09-04-2014 , 02:05 PM

#53

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

welp, just built the winning lineup

everyone else playing for second this week, gl everybody

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09-04-2014 , 04:36 PM

#54

Hurp Durpington

Owlpert

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 32,509

Quote:

Originally Posted by nutshot2

welp, just built the winning lineup

everyone else playing for second this week, gl everybody

I ran 35000000 monte carlos simulation trials and have an optimized lineup. Would you like to play heads up for our respective bankrolls?

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09-04-2014 , 04:51 PM

#55

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,241

**** just got real.

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09-04-2014 , 05:34 PM

#56

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Pretty sure at this point I'm just repeatedly cycling through the same 3 cash game lineups and it's totally random which one ends up in play on Sunday.

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09-04-2014 , 05:53 PM

#57

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hurp Durpington

I ran 35000000 monte carlos simulation trials and have an optimized lineup. Would you like to play heads up for our respective bankrolls?

Aren't you busy playing MLB?

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09-04-2014 , 05:53 PM

#58

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,241

I have randomly chosen teams without a real idea of wtf I'm doing. So, yeah, you guys are screwed.

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09-04-2014 , 05:58 PM

#59

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by SirRawrsALot

I have randomly chosen teams without a real idea of wtf I'm doing. So, yeah, you guys are screwed.

This. I am the DFS equivalent of the girl in your office that wins the bracket by picking mascot favorites.

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09-04-2014 , 06:17 PM

#60

Hurp Durpington

Owlpert

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 32,509

Quote:

Originally Posted by nutshot2

Aren't you busy playing MLB?

I have to balance my projected dominance here with the supreme hemorrhaging of good money in MLB ya know

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09-04-2014 , 10:11 PM

#61

Buffalo66

adept

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 978

In case you're wondering what the big boys rostered tonight on FD:

Condia - Hill, McCoy/Charles, Julio/Colston/Malcom Floyd, Graham, Freese, Jets

csuram88 - Peyton, McCoy/Ball, Julio/Colston/Maclin, Ertz, Zuerlein, Texans

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09-05-2014 , 12:20 AM

#62

cobrakai111

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,947

Ok, I got Lynch right and didn't take anyone else that played tonight on DK. Now who do I pick to win the rest of the money?

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09-05-2014 , 12:32 AM

#63

TeeJayOrTJ

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 5,380

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobrakai111

Ok, I got Lynch right and didn't take anyone else that played tonight on DK. Now who do I pick to win the rest of the money?

**** I fired hard to tonight. Originally wanted to face all the lynch and now I am scared

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09-05-2014 , 09:27 AM

#64

Biesterfield

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 8,042

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffalo66

thanks

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09-05-2014 , 10:33 AM

#65

nickthetick

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 1,604

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffalo66

What contest was that Condia lineup from? Saw a different one from him in a $200 H2H.

Probably not a revelation but FD seems way softer salary wise. Prettier teams are more possible on FD than DK.

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09-05-2014 , 11:14 AM

#66

TeeJayOrTJ

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 5,380

Yea throwing like Charles DT and basketball on the same team is trivial on FD with a solid QB. That's impossible on DK

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09-05-2014 , 11:20 AM

#67

Buffalo66

adept

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 978

Quote:

Originally Posted by nickthetick

What contest was that Condia lineup from? Saw a different one from him in a $200 H2H.

Probably not a revelation but FD seems way softer salary wise. Prettier teams are more possible on FD than DK.

That was from a single entry tourney. took a screen shot:

https://twitter.com/buffaloholdem/st...94597750145024

My experience w/ Condia is that he plays the same lineup everywhere. His Sunday LU might be different due to player news updates but whatever he rolls out it's usually uniform. In the past he would throw one into multi-entry gpp's but I've never seen him do the multi-entry strategy.

He went cheapest QB, minimum $ WR to fit all those studs in. FD Pricing was actually better this year than previous years IMO.

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09-05-2014 , 11:25 AM

#68

Hurp Durpington

Owlpert

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 32,509

the ellington fade may work afterall

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09-05-2014 , 12:34 PM

#69

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffalo66

Can't believe FD hasn't "fixed" this. Ridiculously dumb to show a player's full roster on Thursday games.

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09-05-2014 , 01:06 PM

#70

ballin4life

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 2,121

So I took Ellington in several Thursday 50/50 leagues on FanDuel. If he doesn't play am I completely screwed?

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09-05-2014 , 01:16 PM

#71

Biesterfield

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 8,042

not completely but it certainly doesnt help

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09-05-2014 , 01:55 PM

#72

DrOlson

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 670

Supposedly by week 4 or so you won't be able to see the players anymore on Thursdays for fanduel.

Condia may use multiple lineups now just because he is able to get so much action down these days he may want to lessen the variance some. Like it is crazy how much action a person can play if they want to, may be a little too much variance even for condia if he is playing 300-500k a weekend so maybe he started using multiple lineups.