Simple pot equity
I was thinking about how to calculate the break even folding frequency after encountering a guy who would 3b oop and double barrel very often. He cant have a hand all that often here, and if I call flop with something like OESD and a BDFD and jam the turn on any card how do I calculate the math?
My thoughts were as follows
If I open on the button SB folds and he raises to 10bbs, I call
Pot = 10+10+0.5 = 20.5
He cbets 11, I call.
Pot = 11+11+20.5 = 42.5
On the turn he cbets 22, pot is 64.5, I jam my last 79 over the turn bet
So, the odds assuming that when he calls I always lose are
79 : (64.5+79)
Or about 55%
For this example lets say I flopped an OESD and turned a backdoor flushdraw.
So roughly 25% equity on the turn.
This is probably wrong, but do I simply take the 25% of what I "own" in equity of the pot from what I am risking?
ie .25 x 143.5 = 35.88
79-35.88 = 43.12
Real equity adjusted odds are
43.12 : (64.5+79)
Or about 30%
Last edited by Hitablock!; 05-29-2012 at 04:17 PM.