Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
If you are assured of winning if you hit your outs and villain will call your bet with a large enough stack, the future bet you need for a +EV call is:
F$=C$*(CO – PO)
where
C$ is the amount you have to call (75)
PO is the pot odds = Pot/C$ (175/75 =2.33)
CO = Card Odds = (1-eq)/eq (85/15= 5.67)
Then F$ =75*(5.67-2.33)= 250
I'm with you on this.
Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
The required implied odds is then (Pot+F$)/C$ = (175+250)/75 = 5.5 to 1.
As a check,
EV= 0.15*425 - 0.85*75 = 0
I don't understand how this works out our implied odds. I agree that we hit the river 1 in 5.5 times w/ 15% equity, but what I need to know is how much I need to make up ("make up" being defined as getting called worse on river
(we always win when called)) on river to give me the correct implied odds, as I need 30% and only have 15%.
I'm a bit slow sometimes, so making it as "simple" as possible for me may help
Thank you!