Quote:
Originally Posted by illiterat
9 handed you aren't winning 0.75bb a hand, you are winning 1.33bb a hand. Which is +256bb over 192 times. With a 20%bb ante you are winning 3.13bb a hand, or +601bb over 192 times.
So the first comment was mostly correct. Although I'm guessing (not really sure how much the 4% figure actually goes down with folds though) if the hand starts out 9 handed there don't need to be a lot of folds in front of you for a shove to be +EV.
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1.33? since when is the SB 1/3 the BB?
Odds of running into Aces with KK against # of opponents (wikipedia.org):
Against 1 0.0049
Against 2 0.0098
Against 3 0.0147
Against 4 0.0196
Against 5 0.0244
Against 6 0.0293
Against 7 0.0342
Against 8 0.0391
Against 9 0.0439
should be easily to calculate when shoving is +cEV...
But tournaments are still about survival besides accumulating chips, so it's not necessary to take all the small +cEV spots, just the big ones, just shoving SB BTN and CO for example would already be so massively +EV that you don't need to risk shoving from the other spots...
should be the easiest ME victory of all time btw