Quote:
Originally Posted by fityfmi
I interpret this as a sort of "loser takes it all tournament" (or potentially like a reversed tournament, where 1st player to bust wins the most, 2nd gets less, 3rd gets less than that again, etc.). If thats the case, you would be as good as guaranteed to not lose the quickest (or quick enough to get into the money) by autofolding every hand.
That's the same way I interpreted it but I was thinking HU not a multi-player tourney. For heads up, if your opponent is folding every hand there is no way to increase your expectation by putting more money in. Also, if your opponent is shoving every hand you can exploit them by folding every hand. So folding every hand is the optimal solution and calling or raising is clearly not.
For multiple players things are more complicated and interesting. Still, if all players are folding every hand, no *single* player can increase their expectation by putting more money in. So it qualifies as a Nash equilibrium. However, unlike HU, if some players are raising we can no longer necessarily exploit them by folding every hand. If everyone at the table is shoving, no *single* player can increase their expectation by folding, so we're also at a Nash equilibrium (there are multiple solutions).
If it isn't clear why shoving UTG isn't automatically good, think of when you're at a table with 9 colluders. They can all fold which basically blinds you up. Even winning just one blind is disastrous, because once everyone else does decide to go allin, the chance you get eliminated first is basically 0 since your stack will have something left. Everyone else at the table can increase their chances of winning the tourney from ~1/10 to ~1/9 at your expense.
Of course, collectively exploiting a folder is a lot more obvious and straightforward. If this game were actually offered down the street of course I'm allin ASAP. The chance the other 9 players are scheming against me is a lot less likely than not. Still, I would be shoving knowing that I'm not mathematically guaranteed any kind of decent EV.