Fairly new to these types of scenarios, been trying to understand how to break some of these situations down appropriately after reading Ike Haxton's fantastic eye opening article (shout out to Ike) on card removal issues on Bluff Poker Europe. I'd probably lose my mind if Ike breaks down this hand. The hand in question is in this video at 37:30
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzbnD3UdVSU
Have been struggling with the hand converter but here it is:
Hellmuth SB ($13,940)
Rast BB ($5,294)
30 ante 60/120 SB/BB I think?
Preflop: Hero is Rast with Ks7d
SB calls 60, Hero raises to 405, SB calls
Flop: ($870) Kc 4d Jc (2 players)
Hero bets $375, SB raises to $1275, Hero thanks and goes all-in for $4190?
My question is what are the considerations for folding, calling, or jamming the river?
Here is my breakdown for range assumptions and I'd love to hear some thoughts.
1) Hellmuth is rarely, almost never limp calling with any pocket pair, AQo+
2) His bluff range is almost entirely consists of semi bluffs, which are flush draws (1 or 2 gapers at max?) and all QTs and maybe Q9(raises AQ pre)?
3) His value range is all Kings excluding the ones folded preflop, and the ones we beat are K6+ leaving K7-KJ (KQ,KK,AK raises pre-flop or limp 3bets?)
4) Hellmuth is getting 2-2.5 to 1 to call so against Rast's range its a definite call?
I'll add some more thoughts in a bit but looking for some input first. Thanks again and glad to be a part of the forums!
