Quote:
Originally Posted by pechkin
and 20% of the time you lose your 100$, i guess
and you are not minus ev if you bet less, thats ******ed logic, you are just less+ev than if he folded the hand. Even if you check you are not -ev, the only -ev there is if you pay guy off when he hits.
Also you can technically call it turning your hand into a bluff if you know your opponent will fold his draw if he doesnt get the correct odds.
Your post is so verbally spewy. First and foremost a decision can be -ev in comparison to another option. The knowns are:
a) villain has a lesser hand that can outdraw hero profitably (breakeven at the very least) if he has 4:1 odds
b) there is $300 in the pot.
c) a $100 bet gives villain 4:1 odds exactly
d) villain will FOLD if not given the correct odds
So the ev of your decision can be significantly -ev. Just jamming allin obviously denies the villain the correct odds of a call, so the ev of the decision to check is that you win $300 four times and villain wins $300 one time. That means in 5 hands you win $900 an expected return of $180 per hand. The same hand in which your decision to open shove (or for that matter to simply bet $101) would have had an expected return of $300 per hand, so yes the decision to check LOST you money.
Please
read the OP before slamming other people that gave thought out answers to a hypothetical question.