Quote:
Originally Posted by Haizemberg93
Then why would somebody ever bluff squeez?
We fold
some of our cold-calling hands, but the squeezer still expects to win a bigger share of the 3-bet pot than we do when we call the 3-bet. i.e. We just call because it's slightly better than folding and we have the pot odds to continue. The squeezer has the range advantage, so he can make money with his bluffs as well as his value hands.
To do the math, imagine CO opens 2.5x, we call 2.5x on the BTN and the BB squeezes to 10.5bb, CO folds. BB is risking 9.5bb (on top his forced BB). We only need to call 8bb to see a flop, where the pot will be 24bb. BB needs to get 9.5bb from that pot to break even. We only need to win 8bb to break even. In the long run we both win, because of the dead money put in by players who folded pre. Due to his range advantage, the BB might win something like 14/24bb of the pot (4.5bb profit), leaving us with 10bb (2bb more than the cost of calling the 3-bet, and a half big blind loss on the hand in total, but still better than folding pre and losing 2.5bb) and happy days for all concerned, apart from the CO, who probably folded the best hand.
Last edited by ArtyMcFly; 07-11-2017 at 04:52 PM.