Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
I think it should be noted that the above EV_check calculation assumes that if hero checks, villain will follow. Since it was stated that villain will always call an all-in bet, it is not unlikely that V will shove if checked to him.
In that case, the EV equation for hero check assuming hero calls a villain shove is
EV_Hcheck = Pr(V shoves if H checks) * EV(shove) + Pr(V checks if H checks)*EV(check)
check/call a shove is very likely -EV in this specific case against this opponent. (I gave no infos on that because I thought it wouldnt matter in the initial posting)
So Villain is a loose passive fish and I assume that hes shoving only better hands
That means that checking is +EV even if we check/fold if he bets.
And the shove is +EV as well because he is calling worse as well (see Equity vs callingrange)
The question is now how I calculate whats actually best ?
I really suck at math so I hope someone helps me to break that spot abit down for a noob.