Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
You can get the same flop in 3-bet pots, but now villain is the one that's capped (when he called pre). I dunno about you, but if I've got the effective nuts against a capped range, I prefer to be in a juicy 3-bet pot than a little single-raised pot.
If you assume Villain has a capped range, then he is 4-betting AA-KK, and hence, you are in a "juicy 3-bet pot" because he can never show up with AA-KK; hence the problem with always taking the most +EV line
for your specific hand sometimes.
Obviously
for the specific times we hold AA-KK it is more profitable to 3-bet (I already agree that the standard line is to 3-bet), but your calling range suffers from this.
This thread focuses 100BB deep, but if we were playing much deeper, it would be really disastrous for your calling range to never be able to show up with KK+.
I don't think I am saying anything controversial here. Even Bill Chen in the Mathematics of Poker stated: "The ability to threaten to hold the nuts in a particular situation is worth some equity to all the hands in our distribution" (P.262) and "With gigantic stacks (say, one million times the blind), it would indeed be indicated to play 52s under the gun with some positive probability" (P.262).
I'm more concerned about what just_grindin posted of: "The gain in EV all of your other hands receive from checks by flatting AA/KK has to compensate for not only your loss in immediate equity for those hands but the loss to your [ other hands in your] 3 betting range as well." and whether at 100 BB sometimes flatting KK+ is worth enough equity to all the other hands of our distribution to justify this.