Quote:
Originally Posted by smokey93
I wonder how often would we have to defend then if V were to bet 2X pot?
A third of the time.
The equation goes like this:
Villain bets B into a pot of P. The folding frequency he requires for his bluffs to break even is B/(B+P), which is sometimes called "alpha". The defending frequency is 1 - alpha.
e.g. If villain bets pot, the alpha is 1/(1+1) = 1/2 = 50%. If his bluffs need you to fold 50% of the time, you should obviously call 50% of the time.
If he bets 1/2 pot, the alpha is 0.5/(0.5 + 1) = 33.33%, meaning his bluffs will be profitable if you fold more than a third of the time to a half pot bet, so you should defend 67% of the time against that sizing.
If he bets 2x pot, the alpha is 2/(2+1) = 66.7%, so you need to defend 33.3%.
Quote:
Originally Posted by smokey93
Assuming if V's range is unbalanced/value heavy, and V pots on the river.
If we were to not defend 50% of the time but rather, decrease our defending %, would that be considered as exploitative play rather then a frequency based approach?
It would be an exploitative adaptation, albeit it would be based on villain's frequencies (or HUD stats if you prefer). Just think of it in the same way you think about someone opening in the SB when you're in the BB. If SB is a LAG, you defend more often than when he's a nit. You "exploit" the nit's imbalance by not calling at GTO frequencies, because that would just mean you're giving him money with a range that doesn't break even vs the nit. Because he's playing sub-optimally and not opening wide enough, you pick up loads of money from the walks he gives you. In the same way, someone that doesn't bluff the river very often gives you the chance to get lots of free showdowns (you never have to make "breakeven calls" against him, and indeed you won't break even if he's not bluffing!), but you should give that player's bets more credit and fold more than "GTO".
Quote:
Originally Posted by PTMHM
Sorry to hop in but did you find snowie to be a valuable tool. Always looking for GTO resources.
Yes, I found it very useful and interesting, but I was a very ABC value-heavy nitreg when it first came out, so it was quite mind-blowing at first for me. Alongside books, videos and forums, it taught me a lot about ranges and balance... and how to jam 2x pot with 7-high like a boss.
Whether it's valuable for you depends on what level you're at, and how you respond to that kind of training/analysis. See
the very long Snowie thread in this forum.