Forget about what happened after they are all in and that Stu that way won the 3rd one and focus instead on the avg what you expect to happen here.
Both players made mistakes in this hand.
I will return to this with math when i get the time so that the hero worshiping of an otherwise top gun player can stop and the rational critical thinking can start instead. Given how it happened which is very different than OP made it to look like, see the youtube video to get better perspective;
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhpJLb1XDgo
one can easily see that its not at all standard to get it in like that and not at all a great move to push for so much after opponent has already made a pot bet on this flop and given that villain has only A8o here its also stupid for him to call for so much because he doesnt have the needed equity vs the pushing range, even if you include some bluffs to it, which we must not really, because bluffs with nothing after pot bets for so much are idiotic and non existent to rare basically.
The thing here is that Stu's push is not terrible at all but its not good either and its marginally negative actually and unworthy of his great skill edge. But the call is even more wrong (which is one more reason the push is wrong from the skill edge perspective as he gets called so often given that opponent called with only A8o meaning in this spot opponent's playing bad style hurts Stu actually!) . Basically the call is looking at some needed 40% equity which is nowhere near a real 30-31% here and the push is also looking at some fold equity that is over 50% which is not here easily after a pot bet and when called it has small equity near 30% which it would be ok if the push wasnt for so much. Basically he pushed for over 3.2 times the pot size after villain's pot bet. That right there is excessive and bad waste of chips in general because he gets called very often and he doesnt have the equity for it.
Learn to look at the details of the hand not that in general its ok when short stacked to push with some draw and pair. Of course in general that is ok if you act first and the push is not excessive or if you act after a smaller bet and the push is again not so huge. But acting after a pot bet of guy that was raised preflop (read to that strength of at least AX type) and still going 3.2 times over the size of the pot with something that even if called by just some AJ or AT it has 31% equity is bad because it is called very often and this essentially victimizes Stu's skill edge and makes it easy to be defeated!!!
The fact is as the money went in Stu had only 35%.
Last edited by masque de Z; 12-30-2011 at 07:52 AM.