Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory

Notices

Poker Theory General poker theory

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-10-2012, 06:31 AM   #31
adept
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 714
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Da Mayor View Post
I think it something like this:

Hero: AcAs

Villains:

AhAd
KcKs
2c2s
3c3s
4c4s
5c5s
6c6s
7c7s
8c8s
JdTd

Or something along those lines. Carplayer's hand calculator says that Hero is 0.10% to win it all and 4.34% to chop.

Notably, JTs is actually in lead against the entire field and 88 is the next best.
That's still 2.27% equity. How about 0.792% equity with AA?

Code:
201,376  games     0.005 secs    40,275,200  games/sec

Board: 
Dead:  

         equity    win     tie   pots won  pots tied 
Hand 0:  00.792%  00.78%  00.02%    1561     33.63   { AcAs }
Hand 1:  16.709%  16.71%  00.00%   33648      0.30   { KcKs }
Hand 2:  13.364%  13.36%  00.00%   26911      0.30   { QcQs }
Hand 3:  10.694%  10.69%  00.00%   21534      0.30   { JcJs }
Hand 4:  07.318%  07.32%  00.00%   14737      0.30   { 9c9s }
Hand 5:  16.221%  16.22%  00.00%   32664      0.30   { 8h7h }
Hand 6:  18.906%  18.91%  00.00%   38072      0.30   { 6d5d }
Hand 7:  03.992%  03.98%  00.02%    8006     33.63   { Ad3s }
Hand 8:  03.342%  03.33%  00.02%    6696     33.63   { Ah2c }
Hand 9:  08.663%  08.66%  00.00%   17444      0.30   { TcTs }
R Gibert is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-10-2012, 10:15 AM   #32
journeyman
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 279
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

It's not possible for AA to have 100% equity against at most 9 players preflop.
First of all there should be no 4 flush board possible in the other 2 suits. To do that we need to take 10 cards out of the deck for each suit, totalling 20 cards, ie 10 other players. (But we'd still be very far cause we'd need to take out all the set/trips chances).
If you let no other player have a different suit you can't outrule sets/trips/straights)
BlackLoter is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-10-2012, 04:21 PM   #33
adept
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,011
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

Quote:
Originally Posted by vezmus View Post
AA
AA
TT
TT
99
99
66
66
55
55

The aces are 100% to split here.
What about flushes though? What am I missing?

edit: Yup, looks like stove agrees. 3.44% to win, 96.56% to tie.
weaselgirl is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-11-2012, 12:29 AM   #34
journeyman
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 279
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

Quote:
Originally Posted by weaselgirl View Post
What about flushes though? What am I missing?

edit: Yup, looks like stove agrees. 3.44% to win, 96.56% to tie.
One of the 2 aces hand is going to win if there are flushes, obv each of them has exactly 50% equity
BlackLoter is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-12-2012, 10:41 AM   #35
stranger
 
DCSW7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 9
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

As the other two aces will always have 4 card flush/quads with Ace high possibilities, I think this is as close as you can get ten handed...

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=7161601

Holdem Hi: 201376 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Ah 197680 98.16 3472 1.72 224 0.11 0.982
Ac 9h 1736 0.86 199416 99.03 224 0.11 0.009
As 9d 1736 0.86 199416 99.03 224 0.11 0.009
Td Th 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
Ts Tc 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
9s 9c 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
5d 5h 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
5s 5c 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
4d 4h 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
4s 4c 0 0.00 201376 100.00 0 0.00 0.000
DCSW7 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-12-2012, 02:03 PM   #36
adept
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 714
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DCSW7 View Post
As the other two aces will always have 4 card flush/quads with Ace high possibilities, I think this is as close as you can get ten handed...

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=7161601

Code:
Holdem Hi: 201376 enumerated boards
cards     win   %win    lose   %lose  tie  %tie     EV
Ad Ah  197680  98.16    3472    1.72  224  0.11  0.982
Ac 9h    1736   0.86  199416   99.03  224  0.11  0.009
As 9d    1736   0.86  199416   99.03  224  0.11  0.009
Td Th       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
Ts Tc       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
9s 9c       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
5d 5h       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
5s 5c       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
4d 4h       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
4s 4c       0   0.00  201376  100.00    0  0.00  0.000
This is effectively duplicated what I posted in post #30. The difference is, I have four T5o hands and you separated these into 4 pocket pairs. This makes no difference in the outcome.
R Gibert is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-12-2012, 11:42 PM   #37
newbie
 
Lamirp's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Long Island
Posts: 25
Re: 100% Preflop Aces Win! Possible?

AA then turn the T5s into two A6 and two J6 instead, two J5s, two T5, TT..

you gain a small percentage against the above post im sure
Lamirp is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:28 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive