Quote:
Originally Posted by Mako Haze
Exactly. I'm scared to check HEM for my JJ hands at 10nl. And it's only 1st week of promo. How much I lose, bro?
But yeah, prolly better just to play normally/solid and if it hits, it hits. If not, don't worry about it.
Expected value per hand for this promotion = $0.00113122...
Probability of being dealt JJ = 1 in 221
Probability of JJ on the flop when you have already been dealt JJ = 1 in 400
Combined probability of both of the above = 1 in 88,400
So assuming you see a flop 100% of the time if and when you are dealt JJ, then each hand carries with it a 1 in 88,400 chance of winning $100 for this promotion.
To put that in perspective, the probability that the next two hands you are dealt will both be AA is 1 in 48,841.