Originally Posted by Robertie
I would just play your normal game. Backgammon is hard enough without trying to factor in issues like "I think this play is technically right, but if I make this mistake then he'll make even more mistakes later, etc etc..."
I'd also point out that if you play practice sessions against Snowie or XG, you'll notice that they seem to do just fine without taking your play into account at all.
I agree with Bill, just play normally and you'll be just fine.
One exception are bearoff position with a few roll left. you may want to drop cube that are technically takes if the taking will will give the winner an overwhelming lead.
For instance: XGID=-B---------------------b--:2:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:11:10
you are 27.78% to win and it is a take (0.876), if you play a player much weaker than you you may consider dropping it. I did not make the calculations, but I suspect you need the player to be around 250 Elo weaker to make this a drop.
Another way to leverage you edge is if you hesitate between 2 plays, one leading to an easy game (race for instance) and the other leading to a complex position. Against a weak player pick the later. Again this is only if you are unsure what play is the best. In another way: do not give up knowingly equity, you are never sure you opponent mistake will make up for it.