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6-1 to play 6-1 to play

07-28-2017 , 01:46 PM
White - Pips 121

Black - Pips 118
Black to Play 6-1
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I am interested in a more or less quantifiable approach to this position. Thank you!
6-1 to play Quote
07-29-2017 , 09:35 PM
Here's how I would look at it.

If you play 24/17, White has 15 hitting rolls and 21 misses. In other words, 60% of the time next turn you'll be on roll having escaped his block.

If you play anything else (24/23 13/7 looks like the next-best play) you'll be behind his block 100% of the time.

Looks like any play other than 24/17 would be a pretty big blunder.
6-1 to play Quote
07-30-2017 , 03:58 PM
Thank you, Bill! All clear.
6-1 to play Quote

      
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