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Tornados Free Will and Chaos Theory Tornados Free Will and Chaos Theory

05-23-2013 , 01:58 PM
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Originally Posted by starvingwriter82
Everyone is punished because they exist in a world where sin exists, and mankind is the one that allowed that. The tornado and who got hurt in this specific incident is, well, incidental. The whole system is broken (and humans broke it), and that's why bad things happen. Trying to figure out why one specific bad thing happened or why God didn't intervene in any one time/place is a red herring. The whole world is full of sin (according to the Bible, everyone has sinned) and that has consequences, one of which is suffering and death.

Probably should note now that I'm actually an atheist, but I had a Christian upbringing and studied theology to a limited extent in college, so that answer, while I believe it reflects Christian orthodoxy, doesn't reflect my personal beliefs.
Which is one explanation for why it happened if the Christian God is real, but what about the other gods, like Allah? Islam doesn't have an 'original sin' concept.

Thinks...

Uh, just answered my own question....

So, does anyone think that this adds weight to Allah being real?
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05-23-2013 , 02:43 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Except that there are plenty of tragedies that God can't stop because of the aforementioned restrictions on stopping free will or obviously showing himself. Why not save a few school children when he can get away with it?
I think my post that you quoted responds to this. I mean, this is just a repeat of your OP which is what I was replying to.

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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
I also might add that your story doesn't lead to thinking that an individuals life would be boring if he wasn't exposed to disasters. Rather it implies that God's life would be.
Well it certainly looked to me that Sim City should have been boring for my brother, but I was also hoping you would be able to think deeper about this and imagine it being boring for the residents of Sim City as well. All my points still stand.
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05-23-2013 , 02:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Lestat
I don't see how god can intervene to the point you suggest while avoiding detection by statisticians!
By changing my OP to apply only to deadly hits on occupied schools it works. At least for several centuries of no such calamities. He does have several standard deviations of wiggle room.
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05-23-2013 , 03:07 PM
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Originally Posted by montecarlo
Yeah, being raised in a church, this is one of the standard answers. Bad things happen because of sin. I wonder if it's truly Biblical or simply a churchism that was constructed to keep the masses pleased/secure in their beliefs.

Some thoughts about the discussion thus far:

1) I disagree with the idea that God doesn't break the laws of physics so that it would be easy for people to believe in him. I think you have to disregard huge portions of both testaments if you want to claim that. The Bible claims that God stopped the sun in the sky for awhile during one of Joshua's battles so that Joshua would have enough time to fully destroy his opponents. (I also think there was a second, more minor instance of this happening during Isaiah/Hezekiah's time?) In the new testament, you've got stories of Jesus calming storms, of Peter walking on water (for awhile at least), of kids raised from the dead, of convenient earthquakes that happen to open jail cells but not destroy buildings, etc, etc, etc.... So, yeah, I'm pretty sure God chooses to break the laws of physics sometimes.

2) I have never heard of quantum uncertainty leading to tornado location/direction. That is (imo) too far of a stretch of the limits of the butterfly effect. Yes, quantum uncertainty exists in small sample sizes, but once you get to anything the size of a butterfly wing, the laws of statistics have taken over, and it's more of a determined system. No, I'm not saying the butterfly effect is bunk. It exists. But in no way does quantum uncertainty affect human-scale events (unless you want to plug the tornado into a quantum cpu I suppose).

3) The more I personally have struggled with the problem of evil, the closer I've nudged towards the idea that, compared to infinity, a life of suffering is meaningless, same as a life of pleasure. We humans tend to dismiss the idea of extremely long periods of time, and focus moreso on stuff less than a couple thousand years or so. Christians (imo) allow their warped time scale to bias their arguments/logic too much. On the one hand, they usually hide behind the infinity argument while worrying nonstop about what they're going to wear tomorrow. On the other hand, they dismiss a non-God evolutionary scheme because they cannot wrap their minds around just how long 15 billion or so years is. Meh, sorry for the rant. Anyways, the one internal struggle I have left with the infinity vs. lifetime of suffering idea is that, if I understand correctly, the Bible states that we only have this short lifetime to determine whether or not we get an infinity of heaven or an infinity of hell. I'll probably come to terms with that in the next few years though I suppose.
Biblical miracles were done when everybody was a believer in something supernatural. The bad guys just believed in the wrong supernatural things. Or perhaps they believed in God and rejected him anyway. Nowadays though most unbelievers disbelieve in anything supernatural and in fact point to that disbelief as the reason they are atheists. I assume that is why theists nowadays sometimes claim that God makes sure that he doesn't show irrefutable evidence of his existence. He doesn't want such acts to be the sole reason those atheists become believers.

Your third point basically leads to choosing #3 on my list. And #3 should not be that hard to choose if you are a theist. Any terrible event inflicted on an undeserving person because he is in some sense collateral damage can be made up for in the afterlife.
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05-23-2013 , 03:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by starvingwriter82
Everyone is punished because they exist in a world where sin exists, and mankind is the one that allowed that. The tornado and who got hurt in this specific incident is, well, incidental. The whole system is broken (and humans broke it), and that's why bad things happen. Trying to figure out why one specific bad thing happened or why God didn't intervene in any one time/place is a red herring. The whole world is full of sin (according to the Bible, everyone has sinned) and that has consequences, one of which is suffering and death.

Probably should note now that I'm actually an atheist, but I had a Christian upbringing and studied theology to a limited extent in college, so that answer, while I believe it reflects Christian orthodoxy, doesn't reflect my personal beliefs.
I don't think that orthodoxy is in total agreement with the "man broke it" and now we suffer. I'd like to hear what the Roman Catholic approach to this is as I am unsure.

On a side note, but important to me, Man never had a chance against Lucifer, nary a chance.
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05-23-2013 , 03:14 PM
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Originally Posted by ganstaman
Well it certainly looked to me that Sim City should have been boring for my brother, but I was also hoping you would be able to think deeper about this and imagine it being boring for the residents of Sim City as well. All my points still stand.
You think that the residents are better off because they can't totally eliminate a few categories of catastrophes such as tornados hitting schools? You think that the miniscule increase in boredom would be a hardship they wouldn't trade away and be better off for having done so?
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05-23-2013 , 03:35 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
You think that the residents are better off because they can't totally eliminate a few categories of catastrophes such as tornados hitting schools? You think that the miniscule increase in boredom would be a hardship they wouldn't trade away and be better off for having done so?
Tragedy drives innovation. And maybe God did already reduce the suffering some and this is the result.
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05-23-2013 , 03:48 PM
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Originally Posted by ganstaman
Tragedy drives innovation. And maybe God did already reduce the suffering some and this is the result.
I find it strange that you don't think it is okay to slightly inconvenience dark skinned people in airports for the greater good but you are willing to see children die to very slightly increase the chances that it will provoke an invention.

Said differently, even if I were to agree that hardship is an acceptable tradeoff to encourage innovation how can it be justified if it is spread so unequally? You speak as if people are cells in a body rather than individuals. The parents of killed children will not be consoled because someone invents a better tornado prediction device.
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05-23-2013 , 03:59 PM
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Originally Posted by Aaron W.
Jesus Christ.
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05-23-2013 , 04:22 PM
Pat votes #3. Where is the poll?
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05-23-2013 , 05:49 PM
I have some comments on this.

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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Many theists invoke two different reasons why God doesn't intervene in cases where it would appear that it would be helpful if he did. One is that he doesn't want to usurp a human being's free will. The other is that he does not want to influence events that would defy the laws of physics. Because if he did it would be such strong evidence of a higher power that it would eliminate the need for someone to have "faith" given the almost insurmountable evidence inherent in the physics lawbreaking.

To me that sounds farfetched but not completely implausible. But now I want to know why this extends to horrible weather events, especially tornados that almost always strike unpopulated areas. Clearly the free will argument is not applicable. Tornados don't have free will. Less obvious is the fact that where a tornado strikes cannot be accurately predicted by human beings! Not even with a supercomputer yet to be built. Its the famous butterfly effect. (And of course there is also the quantum uncertainty which makes the point even stronger).

Without arguing over the science I would simply suggest that almost nudging a tornado out of the way of children's schools could be done without ever worrying that a scientist will see that and start believing in God for the wrong reasons.
I think this last paragraph is wrong. You of all people should realize that. If tornadoes consistently threaded their way through populated regions while somehow always just missing schools, movie theaters, etc. where there was a concentration of children, there is no doubt that scientists would notice. Not by the path or any unexplained deviation of the funnel, but by the amazing consistency of what was not hit.


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Since schools have been hit and children have died is it because:
Pending a response to my first point I think that concealment is still on the table.

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1. God doesn't have the power to nudge them?
This does not seem consistent with the concept of God so it really is a subset of 4.

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2. God doesn't care where they go?
Possibly.

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3. God has some reason to cause that destruction?
Excepting concealment, there is the test of human faith required. Remember that the children killed are actually not harmed under the assumption that there is a God. They are with God and therefore presumably better off. The test is for us to recognize that and not turn our hearts against God in our understandable pain and despair at our loss.

I wonder a bit if you are ever concerned that in attempting (I presume) to use this tragedy to turn people away from their faith, if you are committing a serious sin?

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4. There is no God?
I concede this as an option, but not that it is shown to be the option.
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05-23-2013 , 06:13 PM
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Originally Posted by ganstaman
Just throwing random thoughts out there, but this made me think about when my brother would play SimCity and turn off all disasters. It was boring as nothing really happened. We need that chaos and tragedy in order to have some motivation to work, some community building, and maybe even some meaning.
I played SimCity and turned off all the disasters because it was a tedious side game to administer to the fires and the floods and have to end up redoing your layout for no other reason. If I wanted to rebuild something in a different way I would load an old version of the map or make a new one.

If you're making a sculpture, do you ruin it periodically because it's boring when you have it the way you want it?
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05-23-2013 , 06:16 PM
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Originally Posted by asdfasdf32
Jesus Christ.
He can't be long for meeting his maker. :/
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05-23-2013 , 08:24 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
I find it strange that you don't think it is okay to slightly inconvenience dark skinned people in airports for the greater good but you are willing to see children die to very slightly increase the chances that it will provoke an invention.
I don't see how the 2 are related. How I think people should behave is not the same as how I think God or nature should behave. Surely you can see how the differences between humans and God are such that we should and do approach situations differently, right?

Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Said differently, even if I were to agree that hardship is an acceptable tradeoff to encourage innovation how can it be justified if it is spread so unequally? You speak as if people are cells in a body rather than individuals. The parents of killed children will not be consoled because someone invents a better tornado prediction device.
Yes, in this situation I've been speaking of humanity as a whole. It's unfortunate that the individual pieces being manipulated are individual people, but I fail to see how this is an attack on my position and not just a neutral observation.
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05-25-2013 , 09:04 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Except that there are plenty of tragedies that God can't stop because of the aforementioned restrictions on stopping free will or obviously showing himself. Why not save a few school children when he can get away with it?
1) It would be very obvious if everytime a tornado comes near to a school, it would change all of the suddent its direction or if it would all of the sudden lose its power.

2) As till today everyone sooner or later dies, you must elaborate what you mean with 'saving'. If you mean everyone should die after he has become 90 years old, than you must elaborate the difference between dying as a child and as an old person. And even if god agrees that no one dies before he has become 90 years old, who guarantees that we don't want to extend it to 91 years... 92 years 920 years? What I mean is: time doesn't exist anyways. 90 years pass by as fast as 10 years and as fast as 10 milli seconds. Everything that has an 'end', its 'beginning' is already its 'end'. Otherwise how could it ever end?
Suffering ends with giving up. The word 'Muslim' means: Someone who did give up. Giving up means: accept your fate as you don't have any power to change it. And this means stop planning your next second. Cause next second doesn't exist, and you can never predict what it has in its pocket for you.
As soon as someone gives up planning: happiness enters.

Last edited by shahrad; 05-25-2013 at 09:15 PM.
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05-26-2013 , 06:49 PM
god is not a cosmic child playing with his train set of creation. therefore this thread is bollocks.
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05-26-2013 , 06:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Hainesy_2KT
god is not a cosmic child playing with his train set of creation.
How do you know?
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05-26-2013 , 08:50 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
The other is that he does not want to influence events that would defy the laws of physics. Because if he did it would be such strong evidence of a higher power that it would eliminate the need for someone to have "faith" given the almost insurmountable evidence inherent in the physics lawbreaking.

...

Without arguing over the science I would simply suggest that almost nudging a tornado out of the way of children's schools could be done without ever worrying that a scientist will see that and start believing in God for the wrong reasons.
First, consider the Philosophical solution to suffering in a world created by an omni3 God whereby this world was created because it is both a good world and the one and only best possible world - for reasons perhaps incomprehensible to us. I believe that solution is considered a valid one by many philosophers, even if somehow unsatisfying for us. Under that solution, all your ideas for how God ought to tweek the world in ways that seem like good ideas to you, become tautologically failures. Under that solution, the world as it is is the best world possible. Any tweeks you might make can only make it a less than best possible world. So this is a possibility you have not listed.

Putting that aside, there is also a view whereby God created this universe from beginning to end from his timeless perspective, in one fell swoop so to speak. He did this with perfect knowledge of everything that happens at every time. And he created it all the way he wanted it. In this view there is no need for God to tweek anything about Nature. If he were to have wanted tornados to miss schools he would have made it so at the time of creation. He would not need to tweek Nature midway through the history of the Universe to make it so.

Putting that aside as well and following your premises, why should we think that it would be so much more important for God to save the schoolchildren rather than other people? I don't think that's so obvious. If God wants his interventions to stay hidden then saving only schoolchildren seems like a poor way to do it - especially when there are all sorts of other people who I'm sure would also like to be saved. If staying hidden is a priority for God then a much better method would be to scatter his life saving interventions with as much diversity as possible. Who knows, maybe that's exactly what he's doing. Maybe he's already saving as many as possible for him to remain hidden. You just don't notice so you insist he ought to save some more. But he's already maxed out. Who knows, maybe he's already intervened and tweeked nature half a dozen times to save David Sklansky's life - probably because he enjoys your books.

/following your premises.


PairTheBoard
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05-26-2013 , 10:59 PM
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Originally Posted by ganstaman
Just throwing random thoughts out there, but this made me think about when my brother would play SimCity and turn off all disasters. It was boring as nothing really happened. We need that chaos and tragedy in order to have some motivation to work, some community building, and maybe even some meaning.
God supports the broken window fallacy ldo
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05-27-2013 , 12:27 AM
But he is not saving as many as possible to remain hidden. I don't see statisticians stating that tragedies are right on the lowest end of what is expected.
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05-27-2013 , 12:45 AM
Why are these the only four options?

Shouldn't we consider that it is possible that God does care, and does have the power to intervene, and chooses not to intervene?

Which brings up another question: How could a God that cares and has the power to intervene but chooses not to intervene truly care? Perhaps this second question merits discussion.
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05-27-2013 , 02:44 AM
It is because god wanted those children to be with him, he didnt want to wait until they died naturally at 80+ years old he wanted them NOW. 80 years is a long time to wait for an entity that exists outside of time ldo.

See what happened was even though god knows everything, like everything that ever was/is/will be, this time he forgot that he wanted those children, then was like aghh man i want them to be with me now! So even tho he could change time with the blink of an eye and no one would ever know, he choose to create a disaster, so 1, he can have those children with him right now and 2, so humans dont get bored on earth with all the cool stuff to do, and the news reporters have a job etc..

So anyway dont worry about the children that died, they are with god, cool. We are less bored, cool, and the grieving parents can rest assured that their children are with good now, in fact they should be happy and thankful that the good lord took them.
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05-27-2013 , 03:28 AM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
But he is not saving as many as possible to remain hidden. I don't see statisticians stating that tragedies are right on the lowest end of what is expected.
That's a tricky twist, but how well does the logic really hold up? First, if statisticians noticed that tragedies were consistenly at the lowest end of what is expected they would conclude something's amiss. If they had an expected range for tragedies they would expect the rate of tragedies to vary over that range. If the rate instead held at the low end of the range the statisticians might come to suspect divine intervention preventing normal variance. Maybe God can do it in some way that fools those statisticians, but keeping tragedies at the low end of what is expected would not be it.

Furthermore, it might be that statisticians figure whatever the tragedy rate is is what it's suppose to be. So they would never notice anything amiss and God could intervene an unlimited amount without bothering them. However, statisticians are not the only people paying attention. If God were to intervene without limit some people would wonder why we're so lucky. The rumor would spread that it must be God intervening. So God can not intervene without limit and still stay hidden. And we have no idea how much intervention it would take to pass the critical point that sets off enough people to blow his cover. So there's no reason, on these grounds, to think God isn't maxed out already.

It's very hard to track down all unintended consequences. Just because you've looked and found all you can doesn't mean you've found them all. I don't have to find more to tell you there may be more.



PairTheBoard
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05-27-2013 , 06:18 AM
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Originally Posted by asdfasdf32
How do you know?
he told me
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