Quote:
Originally Posted by xorbie
But this is a pretty broad theory that ignores the differences in certain situations. The gov't does not need to be capable of determining which hi-tech industry or new production method to invest in (although our gov't does seem to want to make these determinations). The idea is feeding the demand side of the equation by providing payments to people who have lost a lot of money or their jobs and have not enough money to purchase food, clothing, and so forth. Will some malinvestment occur? Sure, it always does. But there's a world of difference between funneling billions of $ into failed production methods (which is essentially a supply side/"trickle down" stimulus cloaked in demand side rhetoric) and actually helping people who have no money make the purchases they need to retain some basic standard of living. The government does not need to know much about where the best investment opportunities are, because presumably after the recession is over there will still be demand for affordable staples, and if there does end up being some slight oversupply, that's really not the end of the world.
The point I was trying to address was that some people dont accept that aggregate demand falls. We do accept that but we think its more important to understand why it fell in the first place. Saying we simply need to return aggregate demand to previous levels regardless of the methods is what I disagree with.
And this is why I bolded that part. Priming the pump or jump starting the economy back simply assumes that reverse the direction of aggregate spending will cure whatever problem caused it. But if you have no theory of what causes a drop in aggregate demand and you have no theory as to what causes the recession to end, I find it very unlikely that simply pumping up AD is going to fix things in the long run.
So for example I think its totally acceptable to use government spending to help a country get through an exogenous shock like some natural disaster because presumably the infrastructure will recover to the previous point. But if your decrease in AD is caused by too much debt or institutional factors that arent being addressed than your country has taken the first step on the road to insolvency.