Originally Posted by MarGar
Game is 5/10 uncapped, min 500. Eff stacks of hand is 3-3.5kish.
Good player opens EP, fish flats btn, I flat SB w A5dd, lag flats bb.
Flop 955hh, I check bb leads 60, others fold, I make it 210, he calls turn 6x, I bet 340 he calls. River Jh, I...?
No history between me and villain, as I just sat down in the game, but Im up 500 from a few small pots.
I'm in the Ck-fold camp. Don't see c/c or b/f being good, even though others have said it's an easy b/f. I just don't see it.
You only get value from random 5's. But what random 5's are out there that we beat? We have A5, 56su beats us, that just leaves 54 suited (only one combo since three of the 5's are accounted for).
So when we bet/fold, we only get called by the one remaining combo of 54suited. Even if we are generous and give him 57su and 53 su, that's still just two more combos of 5's. 3 total.
But there should be way more combos of flush draws that hit the river. AJhh, AThh, A8hh, A7hh, A6hh, A4hh, A3hh, A2hh, TJhh,78hh (and there easily could be more). Add in the remaining 56su that beats us as well.
It's 3 combos (maybe
)we beat vs a lot of flushes. I don't think the guy has anything else. I c/fold here.