Originally Posted by ringinabox
What about his flop bet sizing? I ended up raising flop to $300 and it went fold-fold. I normally agree with you but since flop bet was so small a raise just felt right.
Guys, help me understand if I'm thinking this thru properly.
The flop bet sizing indicates weakness...so the reason the old nittier player flatted was a float to possibly take the pot away on a later street (if he's capable of floating), plus if you whiffed on this board, he may think his flat looks super strong to you...so he thinks you're going away. If you don't, he's done with the hand.
We know old balls never slow plays anything, so unless he binks the turn (whatever his limp/call range is here) we're not worried about him. If the mark can fire the turn and grow attached to the pot, we raise then?
I understand there are possibly several bad cards for us on later streets, and we dont have the board crushed so hard that it merits slow playing TPTK, (reasons to raise) however I did want to ask you guys if you think we extract more out of the weaker part of the fish's range with a flat. I'm just not sure there's enough hands in his range we're ahead of that are strong enough to call with.