Quote:
Originally Posted by Koko the munkey
The 8d is not a real great turn card. Is villain likely to call $40 pre with an 8 in his hand? How strong did you read him? I don't mind the check if it's for pot control but that means you have to call the river.
If you had bet the turn and he check-raised you, are you folding? Is he capable of representing an 8?
This seems very villain-dependent to me. More reads/info would be helpful.
It's $30 more to win $130 in the BB for a rec player. Plenty of 8s in his range. You think he's just mucking 87, 86s, 89, A8 with those odds as he sees them? I think the 8 is an awful turn card. He could very well have one, but at the same time if he's at all competent he will know it's a good river to bet out at knowing you are presumably afraid of the top pair pairing.
Too many draws that missed to not call now though in my opinion, and since you checked the turn you're pretty under-repped in a way - a lot of Vs will put you on "AK that missed" when you check turn and try to steal it.