Quote:
99 as part of an extended value range
I used to think this way but I've moved away from it. Last week I thought of a hypothetical NLH dilemma:
Say you are dealt 99 at a reasonably tough table and you somehow have knowledge that there are two dead 9s. I guess pretend utg and utg1 each face up mucked hands with 9 in them. Would you play this hand now? From which positions? Would you call a raise with it?
A few people I asked said they would in some cases, one guy said he'd open fold it from every position. I personally would probably open the cutoff, button, and small blind with it, and i'd call an open in blind vs blind.
I think it illuminates a simple NLH maxim that mediocre unimproving hands aren't worth much. Even against a bad player, it will be pretty hard to realize a lot of equity postflop with an unimproved pair of 9s, especially if you narrow his range by 3-betting. So if you put in money as a 55% favorite, you're still gonna get bluffed off the best hand quite a bit postflop, and make bad payoffs with the worst hand. Even if the bad player overbluffs in a lot of spots, you'll be making correct calls due to the pot odds, but still often giving value to his range and having to depend on dead money from previous streets to make the call.