Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
But if he puts me on a missed heart draw, why would he raise rather than call?
I guess my thinking was that there was enough chance he has air in this spot, or believes he has little showdown value so raise gets you off any missed ace high draws, or paired drawing hands that he thinks you turned into bluff and would otherwise win.
This is only one possibility of what he might be doing and may be a small possibility. He may also be raising with what he believes is value, however thin. Or he may have an 8. I just believe 8 is unlikely given action relative to other holdings and would be unlucky for you if he showed up with it. Given that and 3 to 1 on the call, I would call.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
I guess the thing that bothered me at the time about c/r on the flop is that I felt like it was committing me to barreling on the turn, and probably the river, when I missed, against a Villain that was liable to be sticky.
My thinking is that barreling turn if you miss still looks really strong and continues your story of a big hand. And you don't have to bet river if you miss. I feel barreling off here is a line that should be based on judgment regarding board texture w respect to his range at turn and river and whether you sense any weakness.
I think the overall thinking tho is that with the actual equity of your hand on the flop, you don't actually need that much fold equity to make the play profitable.