10/20 i bet 2p for value and get raised otr - Page 2 - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

You are right we probably do need a bigger sample. I was basically making an estimate of how many hands it would take before we could see that nobody is a winner. I wasn't trying to say this was enough to get a true winrate. If we filter all suited and offsuited connectors and 1 gappers with J as the high card and 4 as the low card we will get a robust sample (if someone plays them always from the big). In that sample we will see the massive dollars lost.

Yea 300 hands doesn't mean anything in this discussion
However it's not like I'm flatting from utg1 or even co or otb
I close the action already in for 20 and I'm getting a v good price w a weak player in the pot who I need to be in pots w

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04-22-2014 , 10:26 AM

#27

NeverScaredB

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 8,314

Quote:

Originally Posted by ebet33

The #s I've run show it's at least close

No they don't

Quote:

Originally Posted by ebet33

But I rly don't have a horse in the discussion

Yes you do

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04-22-2014 , 12:26 PM

#28

The Muffin Man

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 2,023

You may have decent equity preflop, but you're not gonna realize your equity OOP without initiative with a hand that usually flop air or a bluffcatcher.

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04-22-2014 , 01:35 PM

#29

surf doc

adept

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 988

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Muffin Man

You may have decent equity preflop, but you're not gonna realize your equity OOP without initiative with a hand that usually flop air or a bluffcatcher.

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04-22-2014 , 02:50 PM

#30

ebet33

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 4,994

thanks guys. Will *** around w the numbers and math and see if I can find a definitive answer to this. Will post itt if I can find out smth concrete
If anyone already knows how to calc the ev on this particular spot lmk

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04-22-2014 , 03:47 PM

#31

TimeBomb

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 1,676

As someone who has a super wide pre range in and out of position I will say this is a fold or big squeeze pre. Turn I would lead and river c/eval but as played fold.

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