call,
Quote:
Originally Posted by callipygian
And we get to the crux of the issue.
I suspect none of us are directly familiar with the spending habits of a typical bottle service girl. But we can estimate. And the ability to estimate something you don't know is a valuable skill which is being underappreciated. (Direct numbers are often suspect anyway because they're frequently outliers.)
If you've ever gone to a retail store and purchased stuff with a lot of cash, you can estimate how common it is that a large group of people do it (low).
If you consider labor arbitrage, and look at the average or median of what other young women make, you can get a ballpark of where the average or median lies. Consider what other professions pay what you think bottle service girls make?
You can calculate upper bounds from public numbers (e.g., it wouldn't be scandalous that Clinton were criticized for spending $200,000 if a large group of people routinely spent thay much). To be complete, you can also calculate lower bounds too by assuming the average bottle service girl is an average woman.
What we disagree on is how much an average bottle service girl can spend in dark money. And putting aside that disagreement, do any of the other estimates support earnings of $200k? And remember, we're talking averages - so while I'm sure there's someone out there who makes an extra $50k selling drugs and $50k sucking dick, I think that's an outlier and doesn't significantly factor into the average, or at least the median.
1) Clinton's spending amount is artificially lowered compared to someone of her social status and wealth because of her political position, and the only reason her spending is even mentioned is because she's a politician with a platform of standing up for the people, etc. Lots of rich people spend way more than her.
2) Bottle service girls, high end hostesses, strippers, etc. are not the median, not sure why you are even bringing that **** up. These women are among the top earners in the service industry. It is easy to extrapolate and come up with a reasonable estimation for them. I know a number of service industry people who report ~$50k in income and take home $500-1000 a week in additional unreported cash. I also have known many people who make primarily cash income of $200-300k who report ~$100k on their taxes, spend $5-10+k a month in cash, and keep the rest in cash. Very easy to imagine a bottle service girl making $200k/year reporting income of $80-100k and spending/saving the rest. I don't know any currently in that job, but as of ~5 years ago, I knew a handful of girls working in clubs who made the kind of money being discussed ITT. There's a reason these are some of the most highly coveted jobs around and incredibly hard to get without connections.
3) In Vegas, NYC, and Houston, three places I have a lot of experience with, high dollar purchases with cash are very common. Less so in SF. I am specifically familiar with Chanel and Barney's via friends who work in management there. Lots of big cash purchases made there.
4) Spending is way easier than you realize, and lots of people spend way more money than you realize. Just buying a couple new pairs of shoes each month for some women can be a $2000-4000 proposition. No, that's not the median or anywhere near it, but it's also not some Black Swan outlier.