Originally Posted by A_C_Slater
They weren't playing 1/2 that hand as there was a $5 straddle. MP shoved for only 12x the straddle after two limpers. 77-99 should be in his range, those hands are at least more likely than QJo. Also, against an overpair he is at least 18%, not less than 17%, imo.
Reraise all in > Call > Fold
First off, 1/2 live does offer straddling.
Second, any overpair to his TT he is a ~17% dog. Against any pair under TT he is ~83% ahead. That's what my original post (tries to) state. QJo is~ 43% chance to win over TT. That's only being ahead by ~7%.
Third, if he re-raises all in AA or KK will certainly call. So then he's definitely a dog. Don't forget in the CO PF he still has three Villains behind him that need to make a decision. Not out of the woods yet.
IMHO, best play is to fold and wait for a better spot. If this were a tourney that'd be different.