I'm not a Macau "reg" - but I have friends who are, and I did a fair bit of playing in Macau around the dates of this blog post. For reference, the dollar amounts are HKD (so "10/20" is actually "1/3"), and the way he plays this hand is just terribly fishy, even in the glorious time of super soft games in Macau. Also - if this guy has won a million dollars online and plays PLO 25/50 (online!), why the hell would he play 1/3 FR live (and also terribly misplay a hand and then brag about it on his blog)?
In a video post on youtube (already posted - the one where he's dressing up), he makes reference to "back to back wins" at the Lisboa. At least as of
the time of that posting, the highest stakes games at the Lisboa were 25/50 HKD (like $3 / $6 or thereabouts at the time). There were much bigger games available at the Wynn and Starworld at the time.
Seriously - I feel sorry for the people who got ripped off - but there's just absolutely no way that this guy is legit, and the tiniest amount of research would have revealed this.
From
http://jasonhopoker.blogspot.com/200...from-wynn.html
Quote:
Villian: Young swedish guy who plays position and is generally tight.
Playing the 10/20.
The pot was limped around Villian makes it 100 and I have 9d 9c in the small blind. I decide to flat and everyone else folds allowing me to be heads up with villian.
Flop comes Kd Td 2c
Pot is about 300 and I check, Villian bets 150.
I tank for awhile a min-raise Villian. The reason for this is I wanted to get an idea of the strength of his holding. Villian instant-calls and turn comes 7d
So board is now Kd Td 2c 4d
I check again, Villian bets 500 into a pot of 900. Now at this point I don't believe Villian has a King and might possibly be semi-bluffing a diamond flush draw with the lone Ad. I decide to call again and see how the villian plays the river. Of course just check/calling allows villian to bluff his whole air range into me.
So river comes 5d and board now reads Kd Td 2c 4d 5d
I have a 9 high flush (Which is nothing at this time) My thoughts are if I bet I only get called or raised by hands which beat me so I should check and allow villian to bluff again.
I check and villian near enough immediately bets 600. Now according to my understanding of body language that a near instant bet by an opponent is usually a bluff since this is a signal that they already processed their decision in their head. If the villian had the nut flush he surely would be wanting to extract value from his hand and place more thought on his bet size. If villian had just a pair of Kings or Tens he would not bet river unless again he had a high flush. Hence this is a case where the villian had the nuts or nothing. I steered towards complete air here because of the live tells and my understanding of bet actions so I made the call.
Villian said your good and showed me 7s 8s (Oh and btw villian showed before in about 2-3 orbits before where he raised in position with 78o)